🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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Dignity Health Sports Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.5%
-
BTTS Yes
73.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 50.5%
Draw 11.4%
Los Angeles FC Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles Galaxy1.4
Los Angeles FC1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WWDLW
47 GF / 40 GA
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WLDWL
47 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
18
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
15
5.32
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 29 matches
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 27 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Statistic Los Angeles FC
12 Wins 14
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 6
47 Goals For 47
40 Goals Against 29
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
18 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 13
3 Failed To Score 3
5.32 Shots On Goal 4.54
13.27 Total Shots 12.75
5.27 Corners 5.38
50.2% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Angeles FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles Galaxy expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Los Angeles FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles FC having the stronger overall control. Los Angeles FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Los Angeles Galaxy have collected 20 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 22:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Pec (5 goals), Joao Klauss (5 goals), M. Reus (4 goals), with creative support from M. Reus (5 assists), Gabriel Pec (4 assists), J. Paintsil (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without J. Marcinkowski, C. Garces, Joao Klauss, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

With 24 points from 15 games and a place of 5, Los Angeles FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 24:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Denis Bouanga (6 goals), D. Martinez (5 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (8 assists), Denis Bouanga (2 assists), T. Tillman (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Aiyenero, H. Lloris, S. Palencia unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 5 times, Los Angeles FC won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:31 from Los Angeles Galaxy's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 14 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1 / Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
Missing players: Los Angeles Galaxy 3, Los Angeles FC 3
H2H summary: Los Angeles Galaxy wins 5, draws 4, Los Angeles FC wins 6
Last matches: Los Angeles Galaxy
12.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
Club America
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
El Salvador
0
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
14.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
1
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Atlanta United FC
2
1
W
03.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
22.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
1
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas
2
2
D
16.04.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
0
3
L
11.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
2
4
L
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mount Pleasant Academy
3
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
12.03.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mount Pleasant Academy
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
01.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
3
0
W
Last matches: Los Angeles FC
05.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
El Salvador
3
0
W
25.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
1
0
W
18.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
1
2
L
11.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
1
4
L
07.05.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
0
4
L
03.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
2
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
0
0
D
19.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
4
L
15.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
11.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
08.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
3
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
6
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Austin
0
0
D
18.03.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
2
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
H2H: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
20.07.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
19.05.25
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
15.09.24
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
4
2
W
05.07.24
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
06.04.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
L
17.09.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
L
05.07.23
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
24.05.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
W
16.04.23
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
3
L
21.10.22
H2H
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
L
09.07.22
H2H
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
L
26.05.22
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
3
1
W
09.04.22
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
04.10.21
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
28.08.21
H2H
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
Last matches: Los Angeles Galaxy
12.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
Club America
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
El Salvador
0
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
0
3
L
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
15.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
12.03.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mount Pleasant Academy
3
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
3
0
W
26.02.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting San Miguelito
0
0
D
23.02.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
3
3
D
11.02.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
3
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
2
3
L
04.02.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
Orange County SC
2
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
DC United
4
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
1
0
W
H2H at home: Los Angeles Galaxy
19.05.25
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
15.09.24
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
4
2
W
05.07.24
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
05.07.23
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
16.04.23
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
3
L
26.05.22
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
3
1
W
09.04.22
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
04.10.21
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Los Angeles FC
18.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
1
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
0
4
L
03.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
11.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Austin
0
0
D
18.03.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Real Espana
6
1
W
H2H away: Los Angeles FC
19.05.25
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
15.09.24
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
4
2
L
05.07.24
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
1
2
W
05.07.23
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
1
L
16.04.23
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
3
W
26.05.22
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
3
1
L
09.04.22
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
2
1
L
04.10.21
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Los Angeles Galaxy 3 missing
-
C. Garces
Questionable Toe Injury
OUT
-
Joao Klauss
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
R. Puig
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Los Angeles FC 3 missing
-
S. Palencia
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
L. Dellavalle
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Igor Jesus
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT