🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.07.2026 02:30
BMO Stadium
Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
Los Angeles FC
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
40'
D. Bouanga · Assist: M. Choiniere
Los Angeles FC
🔄
64'
J. Shaffelburg ↔ D. Martinez
Los Angeles FC
🔄
64'
M. Choiniere ↔ J. Terry
Los Angeles FC
🔄
64'
S. Spierings ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
68'
D. Yedlin
Los Angeles FC
🔄
72'
Son Heung-Min ↔ J. Ebobisse
Los Angeles FC
🔄
78'
D. Luna ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
79'
S. Solans ↔ Z. Booth
Real Salt Lake
🔄
79'
M. Guilavogui ↔ G. Dillon
Real Salt Lake
🔄
84'
D. Bouanga ↔ T. Boyd
Los Angeles FC
🔄
84'
R. Hollingshead ↔ K. Nielsen
Los Angeles FC
🔄
84'
J. Sanabria ↔ A. Katranis
Real Salt Lake
86'
L. Engel · Assist: S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake

Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 51.9%
Draw 14.9%
Real Salt Lake Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.63
Real Salt Lake1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
50 GF / 29 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
36 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
2
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
13
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
13
4.75
Shots on Goal
5.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 18 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic Real Salt Lake
15 Wins 10
7 Draws 4
6 Losses 4
50 Goals For 36
29 Goals Against 25
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
13 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
4.75 Shots On Goal 5.93
13.29 Total Shots 15.21
5.5 Corners 4.21
47.8% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Los Angeles FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Salt Lake. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Los Angeles FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 24 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 24:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Denis Bouanga (6 goals), D. Martinez (5 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (8 assists), Denis Bouanga (2 assists), T. Tillman (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 26 points from 14 games, Real Salt Lake bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 26:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Solans (6 goals), Z. Gozo (6 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), with creative support from Z. Gozo (4 assists), J. Sanabria (4 assists), S. Solans (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 11 times, Real Salt Lake won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:15 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 4-3-3 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Los Angeles FC 4, Real Salt Lake 4
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 11, draws 1, Real Salt Lake wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 24 8 6 10 42:37 5 30
L L W W L
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)