🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
11.05.2026 01:00
BMO Stadium
Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada
Los Angeles FC
Match Timeline
Houston Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
J. McGlynn · Assist: L. Ennali
Houston Dynamo
🟨
27'
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
34'
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
🔄
42'
S. Palencia ↔ R. Raposo
Los Angeles FC
🟨
45+4'
Jack McGlynn
Houston Dynamo
45'
N. Ordaz · Assist: J. Shaffelburg
Los Angeles FC
51'
M. Bogusz
Houston Dynamo
55'
J. McGlynn · Assist: L. Ennali
Houston Dynamo
🔄
59'
J. Shaffelburg ↔ T. Boyd
Los Angeles FC
🔄
59'
S. Eustaquio ↔ T. Tillman
Los Angeles FC
🔄
59'
M. Delgado ↔ M. Choiniere
Los Angeles FC
🔄
76'
J. McGlynn ↔ A. Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🔄
78'
N. Ordaz ↔ J. Ebobisse
Los Angeles FC
🟨
79'
David Martínez Morales
Los Angeles FC
🔄
82'
D. Samassekou ↔ H. Herrera
Houston Dynamo
🟨
86'
Tyler Boyd
Los Angeles FC
🔄
87'
M. Bogusz ↔ D. Holmes
Houston Dynamo
🔄
87'
E. Ponce ↔ O. Lingr
Houston Dynamo
🔄
87'
Guilherme ↔ I. Aliyu
Houston Dynamo
🟨
88'
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90+4'
Nkosi Tafari
Los Angeles FC
🟨
90+3'
Ryan Raposo
Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 55.6%
Draw 10.8%
Houston Dynamo Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.7
Houston Dynamo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
39 GF / 20 GA
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WLDWL
29 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
10
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 22 matches
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 17 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic Houston Dynamo
12 Wins 10
7 Draws 2
3 Losses 5
39 Goals For 29
20 Goals Against 27
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
10 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.6
12.26 Total Shots 13.3
4.89 Corners 5.3
46.3% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 5 times, Houston Dynamo won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1 / Houston Dynamo 4-5-1
Missing players: Los Angeles FC 4, Houston Dynamo 4
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 5, draws 4, Houston Dynamo wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)