ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
27.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Eduardo Gallardo

Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Andes Win 29%
Draw 18%
Deportivo Moron Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Andes0.83
Deportivo Moron1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Andes Los Andes
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WLDWL
50 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
7
BTTS Yes
17
6
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Andes Los Andes 30 matches
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 32 matches
Los Andes Statistic Deportivo Moron
8 Wins 17
13 Draws 7
9 Losses 8
22 Goals For 50
20 Goals Against 31
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
7 BTTS Yes 17
14 Over 1.5 25
6 Over 2.5 17
1 Over 3.5 7
16 Clean Sheets 11
16 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Moron having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo Moron. Deportivo Moron carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 55 points while Los Andes sit 9 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Los Andes Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Los Andes have collected 37 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, while the 22:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 55 points from 29 games, Deportivo Moron bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 47:27, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Los Andes won 5 times, Deportivo Moron won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Los Andes's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
H2H summary: Los Andes wins 5, draws 5, Deportivo Moron wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 30 16 7 7 48:29 19 55
L W W W D
3 30 15 7 8 38:26 12 52
W W W W L
4 30 13 10 7 44:28 16 49
W L W L W
5 30 13 9 8 38:25 13 48
W L L L W
6 30 12 10 8 23:17 6 46
L D D W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 30 8 13 9 22:20 2 37
L D D D D
10 30 9 9 12 27:29 -2 36
W D W D W
11 30 8 12 10 23:26 -3 36
W W D W L
12 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L L L W D
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 30 6 13 11 19:28 -9 31
L D D D D
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation