FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade du Moustoir
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
Lorient
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Charlie Cresswell
Toulouse
🟨
39'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Toulouse
44'
P. Pagis
Lorient
🔄
60'
L. Abergel ↔ N. Cadiou
Lorient
65'
D. Sidibe
Toulouse
🔄
66'
A. Francis ↔ A. Vossah
Toulouse
🔄
69'
P. Pagis ↔ J. Makengo
Lorient
🔄
69'
A. Tosin ↔ S. Soumano
Lorient
🟨
79'
Alexis Vossah
Toulouse
🔄
80'
D. Karim ↔ M. Bamba
Lorient
🔄
80'
J. Mvuka Mugisha ↔ T. Le Bris
Lorient
🔄
80'
Emersonn ↔ S. Hidalgo
Toulouse
🔄
80'
M. McKenzie ↔ R. Messali
Toulouse
🟨
86'
Rafik Messali
Toulouse
🔄
90'
Y. Gboho ↔ M. Sauer
Toulouse

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.25
Toulouse1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient Lorient
WWDLW
13 GF / 25 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
17 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.55
2.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lorient Lorient 11 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 11 matches
Lorient Statistic Toulouse
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
13 Goals For 17
25 Goals Against 15
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
2.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
5 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 3.91
12.09 Total Shots 13.18
3.27 Corners 4.82
43.7% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 3 times, Toulouse won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Lorient's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-2-1 / Toulouse 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lorient wins 3, draws 5, Toulouse wins 7
Stats
Lorient Lorient
Toulouse Toulouse
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 4
6 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 3
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
399 Total passes 413
325 Passes accurate 346
1.36 expected_goals 1.32
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lorient
Formation
Toulouse
Y. Mvogo
Y. Mvogo
Igor Silva
Igor Silva
M. Talbi
M. Talbi
D. Yongwa
D. Yongwa
J. Mvuka Mugisha
J. Mvuka Mugisha
A. Avom
A. Avom
L. Abergel
L. Abergel
A. Kouassi
A. Kouassi
D. Karim
D. Karim
P. Pagis
P. Pagis
A. Tosin
A. Tosin
G. Restes
G. Restes
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
C. Cresswell
C. Cresswell
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
D. Sidibe
D. Sidibe
C. Casseres
C. Casseres
A. Francis
A. Francis
D. Methalie
D. Methalie
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
F. Magri
F. Magri
Emersonn
Emersonn
Lorient 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
38
Y. Mvogo
G
2
Igor Silva
D
3
M. Talbi
D
44
D. Yongwa
D
93
J. Mvuka Mugisha
↓ 80'
M
62
A. Avom
M
6
L. Abergel
↓ 60'
M
43
A. Kouassi
M
29
D. Karim
↓ 80'
F
10
P. Pagis
⚽ 44' ↓ 69'
F
15
A. Tosin
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
32
N. Adjei
D
9
M. Bamba
↑ 80'
F
17
J. Makengo
↑ 69'
M
21
B. Kamara
G
11
T. Le Bris
↑ 80'
M
8
N. Cadiou
↑ 60'
M
28
S. Soumano
↑ 69'
F
5
B. Meite
D
Toulouse 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Restes
G
3
M. McKenzie
↓ 80'
D
4
C. Cresswell
🟨 32'
D
2
R. Nicolaisen
D
19
D. Sidibe
⚽ 65'
M
23
C. Casseres
🟨 39'
M
17
A. Francis
↓ 66'
M
24
D. Methalie
M
10
Y. Gboho
↓ 90'
F
9
F. Magri
F
20
Emersonn
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
12
W. Kamanzi
D
77
M. Sauer
↑ 90'
M
11
S. Hidalgo
↑ 80'
F
7
J. Vignolo
F
22
R. Messali
↑ 80' 🟨 86'
M
31
N. Edjouma
F
35
S. Koumbassa
D
16
K. Haug
G
45
A. Vossah
↑ 66' 🟨 79'
M
Last matches: Lorient
15.08.26
Fri
Lorient
SV Elversberg
1
4
L
08.08.26
Fri
Lorient
Angers
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Lorient
UNFP
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Guingamp
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Nantes
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Concarneau
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Le Havre
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
26.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Marseille
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
1
D
04.03.26
Cou
Lorient
Nice
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
3
D
15.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Angers
2
0
W
Last matches: Toulouse
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
H2H: Lorient vs Toulouse
21.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
2
L
03.12.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
21.08.22
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
2
D
31.10.18
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
0
1
W
08.02.17
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
10.12.16
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
3
2
L
16.04.16
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
05.12.15
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
W
18.04.15
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
29.11.14
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
2
3
W
15.02.14
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
3
L
25.09.13
H2H
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
L
Last matches: Lorient
04.08.26
Fri
Lorient
UNFP
5
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Nantes
1
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Le Havre
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Marseille
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lens
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cou
Lorient
Nice
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Angers
2
0
W
04.02.26
Cou
Lorient
Paris FC
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Nantes
2
1
W
04.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
1
1
D
07.12.25
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
1
0
W
30.11.25
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
1
W
29.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
19.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
3
3
D
27.09.25
Lig
Lorient
Monaco
3
1
W
30.08.25
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
7
L
24.08.25
Lig
Lorient
Rennes
4
0
W
H2H at home: Lorient
09.11.25
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
2
L
23.04.23
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
08.02.17
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
16.04.16
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
18.04.15
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
15.02.14
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
3
L
Last matches: Toulouse
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.01.26
Cou
Toulouse
Angers
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cou
Toulouse
Lyon Duchere
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
3
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
25.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
0
1
L
05.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
21.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
1
L
14.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
1
0
W
17.05.25
Lig
Toulouse
Saint Etienne
3
2
W
H2H away: Toulouse
09.11.25
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
2
W
23.04.23
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
W
08.02.17
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
16.04.16
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
18.04.15
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
W
15.02.14
H2H
Lorient
Toulouse
1
3
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation