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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
12.09.2026 18:45
Lorient
FT
2 - 2
Toulouse
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
Referee: Aurelien Petit, France
Lorient
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Panos Katseris
Lorient
⚽
37'
I. Balde · Assist: P. Katseris
Lorient
⚽
39'
N. Mbamba · Assist: P. Katseris
Lorient
🔄
46'
R. Messali ↔ N. Sigur
Toulouse
🔄
46'
S. Hidalgo ↔ C. Tengstedt
Toulouse
⚽
48'
C. Tengstedt · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
58'
P. Katseris ↔ T. Le Bris
Lorient
🔄
58'
G. Bernardeau ↔ I. Jensen
Lorient
🔄
67'
I. Azizi ↔ S. Oppong
Toulouse
⚽
69'
T. Jorgensen · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
70'
N. Mbamba ↔ A. Avom
Lorient
🔄
70'
I. Balde ↔ M. Kone
Lorient
🔄
85'
C. Tape ↔ I. Diallo
Toulouse
🔄
85'
N. Schmidt ↔ A. Vossah
Toulouse

Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 44.4%
Draw 29.8%
Toulouse Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.54
Toulouse1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient Lorient
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lorient Lorient 9 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 6 matches
Lorient Statistic Toulouse
5 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
14 Goals For 6
10 Goals Against 9
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 2
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.67
11 Total Shots 15.67
1.67 Corners 4.67
50% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 3 times, Toulouse won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Lorient's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.2%)
Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-2-1 / Toulouse 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lorient 1, Toulouse 4
H2H summary: Lorient wins 3, draws 5, Toulouse wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Monaco
6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2
Lille
6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3
Rennes
6 4 1 1 12:10 2 13
W L W W W
4
Lyon
6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
5
Paris FC
6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
6
Paris Saint Germain
6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
7
Stade Brestois 29
6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8
Lorient Home
6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9
Nice
6 2 2 2 5:7 -2 8
W W L D L
10
Lens
6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
11
Strasbourg
6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W W
12
Angers
6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
13
Marseille
6 2 0 4 9:8 1 6
W L L L L
14
Le Mans
6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
15
Toulouse Away
6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
16
Auxerre
6 2 0 4 8:16 -8 6
L W W L L
17
Estac Troyes
6 1 1 4 4:13 -9 4
L L L L W
18
Le Havre
6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
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