FRANCE LIGUE 1
12.09.2026 18:45
Stade du Moustoir
Referee: Aurelien Petit

Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
1.40
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.03
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 44.4%
Draw 29.8%
Toulouse Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.54
Toulouse1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient Lorient
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lorient Lorient 9 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 6 matches
Lorient Statistic Toulouse
5 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
14 Goals For 6
10 Goals Against 9
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 2
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.67
11 Total Shots 15.67
1.67 Corners 4.67
50% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 3 times, Toulouse won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Lorient's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.2%)
Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-2-1 / Toulouse 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lorient 1, Toulouse 4
H2H summary: Lorient wins 3, draws 5, Toulouse wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:5 3 10
W W W D
2 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W W D
4 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
5 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
6 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
W W L
7 3 1 2 0 6:5 1 5
W D D
8 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
9 3 1 1 1 4:7 -3 4
L W D
10 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
11 4 1 0 3 6:6 0 3
L L L W
12 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
13 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
14 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
D L D
15 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
D L D
16 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
L D L
17 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
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