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12.09.2026 18:45
Stade du Moustoir
Referee: A. Petit
Lorient
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Panos Katseris
Lorient
⚽
37'
I. Balde · Assist: P. Katseris
Lorient
⚽
39'
N. Mbamba · Assist: P. Katseris
Lorient
🔄
46'
R. Messali ↔ N. Sigur
Toulouse
🔄
46'
S. Hidalgo ↔ C. Tengstedt
Toulouse
⚽
48'
C. Tengstedt · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
58'
P. Katseris ↔ T. Le Bris
Lorient
🔄
58'
G. Bernardeau ↔ I. Jensen
Lorient
🔄
67'
I. Azizi ↔ S. Oppong
Toulouse
⚽
69'
T. Jorgensen · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
70'
N. Mbamba ↔ A. Avom
Lorient
🔄
70'
I. Balde ↔ M. Kone
Lorient
🔄
85'
C. Tape ↔ I. Diallo
Toulouse
🔄
85'
N. Schmidt ↔ A. Vossah
Toulouse

Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 44.4%
Draw 29.8%
Toulouse Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.54
Toulouse1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient Lorient
W L D L L
4 GF / 8 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
L D L L W
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lorient Lorient 9 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 6 matches
Lorient Statistic Toulouse
5 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
14 Goals For 6
10 Goals Against 9
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 2
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.67
11 Total Shots 15.67
1.67 Corners 4.67
50% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 3 times, Toulouse won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Lorient's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.2%)
Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-2-1 / Toulouse 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lorient 1, Toulouse 4
H2H summary: Lorient wins 3, draws 5, Toulouse wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 12:6 6 18
W D D W L
3 9 5 2 2 15:7 8 17
W L W L W
4 9 5 2 2 16:10 6 17
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 20:19 1 16
L W L W L
6 9 5 0 4 20:13 7 15
W W W W L
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
L D L D W
8 9 4 2 3 13:12 1 14
W W L W W
9 9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
L W W W L
10 9 3 3 3 16:12 4 12
W L D W L
11 9 3 3 3 7:8 -1 12
L D W W L
12 9 2 4 3 12:13 -1 10
L D W D W
13 9 3 1 5 17:19 -2 10
W L L L L
14 9 3 1 5 13:23 -10 10
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L D L L W
16 9 2 2 5 7:16 -9 8
W D L L L
17 9 1 4 4 11:18 -7 7
L D L L W
18 9 0 2 7 9:20 -11 2
L L L L L
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