FRANCE › LIGUE 1
04.01.2026 16:15
Stade du Moustoir
Referee: G. Paradis
Lorient
Match Timeline
Metz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
S. Sane · Assist: G. Hein
Metz
🟨
45+1'
Ibou Sane
Metz
🔄
46'
J. Deminguet ↔ A. Toure
Metz
🔄
60'
S. Soumano ↔ M. Bamba
Lorient
🔄
60'
J. Makengo ↔ B. Dieng
Lorient
🟨
63'
Mohamed Bamba
Lorient
🟨
69'
Koffi Kouao
Metz
⚽
73'
B. Dieng · Assist: M. Bamba
Lorient
🔄
74'
L. Abergel ↔ D. Karim
Lorient
🔄
79'
I. Sane ↔ J. Asoro
Metz
VAR
82'
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng
Lorient
🔄
85'
B. Traore ↔ B. Stambouli
Metz
🔄
85'
G. Tsitaishvili ↔ M. Bokele Mputu
Metz

Lorient vs Metz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 0%
Draw 0%
Metz Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.79
Metz1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient Lorient
WWDLW
26 GF / 28 GA
Metz Metz
WLDWL
20 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
2.18
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
11
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lorient Lorient 17 matches
Metz Metz 17 matches
Lorient Statistic Metz
5 Wins 4
6 Draws 2
6 Losses 11
26 Goals For 20
28 Goals Against 37
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 2.18
8 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 6
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.24
13.06 Total Shots 9.24
3.35 Corners 4.12
45.4% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 6 times, Metz won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:20 from Lorient's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-3 / Metz 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lorient wins 6, draws 5, Metz wins 4

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18
Metz Away
34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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