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BRAZIL › SERIE B
02.10.2026 23:30
Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
Referee: Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil
Londrina
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
32'
Joao Tavares ↔ Chumbinho
Londrina
🔄
46'
Nicolas ↔ Yuri Tanque
Criciuma
⚽
49'
Yuri Tanque · Assist: Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
⚽
52'
Yuri Tanque · Assist: R. Otero
Criciuma
🔄
55'
Tarik ↔ Caio Rodrigues
Londrina
🔄
55'
Thalis ↔ Vitinho Mota
Londrina
🔄
55'
Joao Coni ↔ Guilherme Cachoeira
Londrina
🟨
58'
Willian Chumbinho
Londrina
🔄
58'
R. Otero ↔ Waguininho
Criciuma
🟨
65'
Waguininho
Criciuma
🔄
68'
Igor Bahia ↔ Pablo Dyego
Londrina
🔄
68'
Jean Irmer ↔ Gui Lobo
Criciuma
🔄
68'
Jhonata Robert ↔ Romarinho
Criciuma
🔄
77'
Ronald Lopes ↔ Eduardo
Criciuma
🟨
84'
Guilherme Lobo
Criciuma
🟥
87'
Willian Chumbinho
Londrina

Londrina vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 36.7%
Draw 18%
Criciuma Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.14
Criciuma1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
39 GF / 43 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
31 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
16
BTTS Yes
11
19
Over 2.5
7
3.97
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 30 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 30 matches
Londrina Statistic Criciuma
7 Wins 14
7 Draws 8
16 Losses 8
39 Goals For 31
43 Goals Against 27
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
16 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 19
19 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 8
3.97 Shots On Goal 3.8
13.8 Total Shots 13.87
5.57 Corners 6.73
46.5% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Criciuma's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Criciuma. Criciuma arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 47 points while Londrina sit 18 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 28 points from 29 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 39:41, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from João Vitor (4 assists), Bruno Santos (3 assists), Lucas Marques (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma sit 6 with 47 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 28:27, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 1 times, Criciuma won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Londrina's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Criciuma 3-4-3
H2H summary: Londrina wins 1, draws 6, Criciuma wins 8

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 10 13 10 40:39 1 43
D L L D D
14 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
15 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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