BRAZIL SERIE B
18.07.2026 00:00
Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
Referee: W. do Nascimento
Londrina
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
Everton Morelli ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Hygor ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Kelvin ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🟨
49'
João Vitor
Londrina
🟨
49'
Matheus Sales
Botafogo SP
🔄
62'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
🔄
63'
Heron ↔ Artur
Londrina
🟨
70'
Wallace Reis
Londrina
🔄
72'
Wallace ↔ Murilo Sousa
Londrina
🔄
72'
Ze Hugo ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
81'
Joao Tavares ↔ Kevyn
Londrina
🔄
81'
Kaue Leonardo ↔ Nino Paraiba
Londrina
🟨
88'
Wesley Pinheiro
Botafogo SP
🔄
90'
Rafael Gava ↔ Yuri Felipe
Botafogo SP

Londrina vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 56.2%
Draw 11.5%
Botafogo SP Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.31
Botafogo SP1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
20 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
7
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 17 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 17 matches
Londrina Statistic Botafogo SP
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
25 Goals For 20
25 Goals Against 18
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 6
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.65
11.65 Total Shots 11.76
5.12 Corners 6.06
44.2% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botafogo SP.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 16 with 19 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 25:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Lucas Marques (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), Lucas Marques (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 20 points from 17 games and a place of 14, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 20:18 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 1 times, Botafogo SP won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Londrina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 1, draws 3, Botafogo SP wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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