BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
Referee: Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes, Brazil
Londrina
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
Everton Morelli ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Hygor ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Kelvin ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🟨
49'
João Vitor
Londrina
🟨
49'
Matheus Sales
Botafogo SP
🔄
62'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
🔄
63'
Heron ↔ Artur
Londrina
🟨
70'
Wallace Reis
Londrina
🔄
72'
Wallace ↔ Murilo Sousa
Londrina
🔄
72'
Ze Hugo ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
81'
Joao Tavares ↔ Kevyn
Londrina
🔄
81'
Kaue Leonardo ↔ Nino Paraiba
Londrina
🟨
88'
Wesley Pinheiro
Botafogo SP
🔄
90'
Rafael Gava ↔ Yuri Felipe
Botafogo SP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 56.2%
Draw 11.5%
Botafogo SP Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.31
Botafogo SP1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
20 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
7
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 17 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 17 matches
Londrina Statistic Botafogo SP
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
25 Goals For 20
25 Goals Against 18
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 6
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.65
11.65 Total Shots 11.76
5.12 Corners 6.06
44.2% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botafogo SP.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 16 with 19 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 25:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Lucas Marques (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), Lucas Marques (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 20 points from 17 games and a place of 14, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 20:18 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 1 times, Botafogo SP won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Londrina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 1, draws 3, Botafogo SP wins 3
Stats
Londrina Londrina
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 0
9 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 4
12 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
433 Total passes 332
341 Passes accurate 236
0.92 expected_goals 0.32
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Londrina
Formation
Botafogo SP
Mauricio Kozlinski
Mauricio Kozlinski
Kaue Leonardo
Kaue Leonardo
Yago Lincoln
Yago Lincoln
Gabriel Lacerda
Gabriel Lacerda
Heron
Heron
Wallace
Wallace
Vitinho Mota
Vitinho Mota
Joao Tavares
Joao Tavares
Joao Vitor
Joao Vitor
Pablo Dyego
Pablo Dyego
Paulinho Moccelin
Paulinho Moccelin
Victor Souza
Victor Souza
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Ericson
Ericson
Vilar
Vilar
Patrick Brey
Patrick Brey
Matheus Sales
Matheus Sales
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Rafael Gava
Rafael Gava
Kelvin
Kelvin
Hygor
Hygor
Londrina 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
75
Kaue Leonardo
↓ 81'
D
3
Yago Lincoln
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
34
Heron
↓ 63'
D
4
Wallace
↓ 72' 🟨 70'
M
7
Vitinho Mota
↓ 62'
M
32
Joao Tavares
↓ 81'
M
20
Joao Vitor
🟨 49'
M
11
Pablo Dyego
M
18
Paulinho Moccelin
F
Substitutes
1
Luan Ribeiro
G
12
Zanella
G
22
Artur
↑ 63'
D
33
Kevyn
↑ 81'
D
55
Caio Rafael
F
77
Juninho
F
44
Caio Rodrigues
D
9
Gilberto
↑ 62'
F
2
Nino Paraiba
↑ 81'
D
27
Murilo Sousa
↑ 72'
M
6
Rafael Monteiro
D
Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Souza
G
31
Pedro Henrique
D
3
Ericson
D
4
Vilar
D
6
Patrick Brey
D
16
Matheus Sales
🟨 49'
M
30
Ze Hugo
↓ 72'
M
8
Everton Morelli
↓ 21'
M
10
Rafael Gava
↓ 90'
M
7
Kelvin
↓ 46'
M
9
Hygor
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
Jordan
G
17
Guilherme Queiroz
↑ 46'
F
5
Leandro Maciel
↑ 21'
M
11
Jefferson Nem
↑ 46'
F
28
Marco Antonio
M
20
Yuri Felipe
↑ 90'
M
13
Wallace
D
26
Felipe Vieira
D
23
Wesley Santos
↑ 72' 🟨 88'
F
29
Thiago Moraes
M
15
Guilherme Mariano
D
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
18.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
14.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo SP
25.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
3
L
20.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
14.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
29.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H: Londrina vs Botafogo SP
18.07.26
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
25.11.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
1
W
24.07.23
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
16.11.19
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
20.08.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Londrina
2
1
L
04.08.13
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
20.07.13
H2H
Botafogo SP
Londrina
2
0
L
Last matches: Londrina
18.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
H2H at home: Londrina
18.07.26
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.07.23
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
16.11.19
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.08.13
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
Last matches: Botafogo SP
25.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
3
L
14.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
0
W
29.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Botafogo SP
18.07.26
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.07.23
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
2
W
16.11.19
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.08.13
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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