BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 56.2%
Draw 11.5%
Botafogo SP Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.31
Botafogo SP1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
20 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
7
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 17 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 17 matches
Londrina Statistic Botafogo SP
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
25 Goals For 20
25 Goals Against 18
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 6
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.65
11.65 Total Shots 11.71
5.12 Corners 6.06
44.2% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Botafogo SP in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo SP.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 16 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 24:24, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Lucas Marques (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), Lucas Marques (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 17:15 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 1 times, Botafogo SP won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Londrina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Botafogo SP 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 1, draws 2, Botafogo SP wins 3
Last matches: Londrina
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
Last matches: Botafogo SP
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H: Londrina vs Botafogo SP
25.11.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
1
W
24.07.23
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
16.11.19
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
20.08.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Londrina
2
1
L
04.08.13
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
20.07.13
H2H
Botafogo SP
Londrina
2
0
L
Last matches: Londrina
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
H2H at home: Londrina
24.07.23
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
16.11.19
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.08.13
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
Last matches: Botafogo SP
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
H2H away: Botafogo SP
24.07.23
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
2
W
16.11.19
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.08.13
H2H
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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