BRAZIL SERIE B
18.08.2026 22:30
Estádio Jacy Scaff
Referee: Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz, Brazil
Londrina
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Cristiano ↔ Netinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Peixoto ↔ Henrique Freitas
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
59'
Gustavo Maia ↔ Matheusinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
61'
Heron ↔ Kevyn
Londrina
🔄
61'
Willian Pottker ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
🔄
73'
Paulinho Moccelin ↔ Pablo Dyego
Londrina
🔄
75'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Joao Pedro
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
78'
Marrony ↔ Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
83'
Joao Vitor ↔ Guilherme Dantas
Londrina
🔄
83'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Rai Nascimento
Londrina
🟨
84'
Gilberto
Londrina
🟨
90+3'
Matheusinho
Atletico Goianiense

Londrina vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 43.1%
Draw 12.7%
Atletico Goianiense Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.18
Atletico Goianiense1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
28 GF / 34 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
24 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
12
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
8
3.64
Shots on Goal
4.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 22 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 22 matches
Londrina Statistic Atletico Goianiense
5 Wins 8
5 Draws 8
12 Losses 6
28 Goals For 24
34 Goals Against 23
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
12 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 6
3.64 Shots On Goal 4.41
12.86 Total Shots 13.59
5.36 Corners 5.91
45.7% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico Goianiense's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Goianiense. Atletico Goianiense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 32 points while Londrina sit 17 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Londrina have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 20 points from 21 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 27:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

So far, Atletico Goianiense have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 32 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 24:21 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Geovany Soares (2 goals), with creative support from Geovany Soares (3 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 2 times, Atletico Goianiense won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Londrina's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 2, draws 3, Atletico Goianiense wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 8 5 28:15 13 47
D D W W D
2 26 13 8 5 28:19 9 47
W L L D W
3 26 13 7 6 44:23 21 46
W W W W D
4 26 13 5 8 37:30 7 44
L W D W W
5 26 12 8 6 29:22 7 44
W D W D D
6 26 12 6 8 40:36 4 42
W W L W D
7 26 10 10 6 30:25 5 40
D W W D L
8 26 9 11 6 34:26 8 38
L L W L W
9 26 10 7 9 31:28 3 37
W W D W D
10 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
11 26 9 10 7 31:27 4 37
W L L L W
12 26 10 6 10 25:31 -6 36
L W D L L
13 26 8 12 6 23:21 2 36
L W D W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 26 8 7 11 29:29 0 31
L L L D W
16 26 8 7 11 27:33 -6 31
W L W L L
17 26 8 5 13 28:34 -6 29
L L W W W
18 25 5 7 13 29:36 -7 22
D L D L L
19 26 3 5 18 19:45 -26 14
L W L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation