BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: C. Deretti
Londrina
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Iago Teles
Londrina
🟨
43'
Belezi
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
Gustavinho ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🟨
54'
Belezi
Athletic Club
🟥
54'
Belezi
Athletic Club
🔄
57'
Joao Tavares ↔ Thalis
Londrina
🔄
57'
Max ↔ Zeca
Athletic Club
66'
Bruno Santos · Assist: Vitinho Mota
Londrina
🔄
67'
Heron ↔ Kevyn
Londrina
🔄
67'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Paulinho Moccelin
Londrina
🔄
69'
Diogo Batista ↔ Enzo Santos
Athletic Club
🔄
69'
Marcelo Henrique ↔ Gabriel Moyses
Athletic Club
🔄
83'
Iago Teles ↔ Rafael Monteiro
Londrina
🔄
83'
Lucas Marques ↔ Andre Cardoso
Londrina
🔄
86'
Felipe Vieira ↔ D. Vera
Athletic Club
🟨
90+5'
G. Cabezas
Athletic Club
90+7'
Bruno Santos
Londrina

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds 2.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.7%
2.95
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.55
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.4%
1.11
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 16.1%
Draw 6.2%
Athletic Club Win 77.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.09
Athletic Club1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
15 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
4
3.54
Shots on Goal
3.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 13 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 13 matches
Londrina Statistic Athletic Club
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 7
8 Losses 2
15 Goals For 15
22 Goals Against 13
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
3.54 Shots On Goal 3.23
11.69 Total Shots 10.08
5.85 Corners 4
45.9% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Athletic Club's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Athletic Club in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Athletic Club. Londrina have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Athletic Club carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 18 points while Londrina sit 18 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Londrina Analysis

With 8 points from 12 games and a place of 18, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 12:20, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago (2 goals), Andre Cardoso (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Iago (1 assists), Paulinho Moccelin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 9 with 18 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, while the 14:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (3 goals), Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Belezi (1 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 0 times, Athletic Club won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Londrina's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Athletic Club 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 0, draws 0, Athletic Club wins 3
Last matches: Londrina
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
Last matches: Athletic Club
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H: Londrina vs Athletic Club
05.10.24
H2H
Athletic Club
Londrina
2
1
L
02.09.24
H2H
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
3
L
13.07.24
H2H
Athletic Club
Londrina
2
1
L
Last matches: Londrina
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
H2H at home: Londrina
02.09.24
H2H
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
3
L
Last matches: Athletic Club
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
H2H away: Athletic Club
02.09.24
H2H
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 3.06
Home 2.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.76
Draw 2.05
Home 3.42
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.87
Over 2.25 2.21
Over 2.5 2.55
Over 2.75 2.85
Over 3.5 4.94
Under 0.5 7.05
Under 1.5 2.72
Under 1.75 2.36
Under 2.0 2.00
Under 2.25 1.70
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.45
Under 3.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.00
Home 2.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 1.95
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.20
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.89
Draw 2.91
Home 2.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 1.85
Home 3.32
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.28
Draw 2.16
Home 2.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.26
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.78
Over 2.25 2.13
Over 2.5 2.45
Over 2.75 2.85
Over 3.0 3.84
Over 3.25 4.18
Over 3.5 4.60
Over 3.75 5.95
Over 4.0 9.00
Over 4.25 8.50
Over 4.5 9.40
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.70
Under 0.75 6.00
Under 1.0 5.30
Under 1.25 3.20
Under 1.5 2.49
Under 1.75 2.21
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.67
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 2.75 1.34
Under 3.0 1.20
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.13
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.25 1.01
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.05
Home 2.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.02
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.30
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.43
Over 1.75 1.58
Over 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.08
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 2.75 2.85
Over 3.0 3.70
Over 3.25 4.10
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 9.50
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 1.75 2.35
Under 2.0 2.00
Under 2.25 1.73
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.25
Under 3.25 1.21
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.03

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:15 7 28
W L W W W
2 14 7 4 3 20:11 9 25
L D W D W
3 14 6 7 1 17:9 8 25
D D D W W
4 14 6 4 4 14:8 6 22
W W L W L
5 14 6 4 4 18:17 1 22
W L W W D
6 14 6 4 4 16:15 1 22
D L W L W
7 13 5 6 2 20:13 7 21
D W D W D
8 13 5 6 2 15:11 4 21
D W W D D
9 14 6 2 6 21:18 3 20
L D L L W
10 14 4 7 3 9:7 2 19
L W W W L
11 14 4 7 3 15:15 0 19
L D D W W
12 14 5 3 6 13:21 -8 18
L D L D W
13 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
D D W D L
14 14 4 5 5 15:16 -1 17
L D W L L
15 14 4 4 6 14:13 1 16
W W L D L
16 14 4 4 6 23:24 -1 16
D D L L W
17 14 4 2 8 17:22 -5 14
W W L L L
18 14 3 4 7 15:20 -5 13
W L L L L
19 13 2 2 9 10:25 -15 8
L L D L L
20 13 1 3 9 10:24 -14 6
W L L L D
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