19.09.2026 18:45
Soeverein stadion
Referee: Wesli De Cremer
Lommel United
Match Timeline
KV Mechelen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Tom Reyners
Lommel United
🟨
45'
Dennis Praet
KV Mechelen
🟨
48'
Simion Michez
KV Mechelen
🔄
60'
Juho Talvitie ↔ Niek Corthouts
Lommel United
🔄
60'
Cedric Van Meirvenne ↔ Benito Raman
KV Mechelen
🔄
68'
Nicolas Rommens ↔ Tristan Gooijer
Lommel United
🟨
70'
Mike Eerdhuijzen
KV Mechelen
🔄
72'
Stredair Appuah ↔ Djordje Gordic
Lommel United
🔄
77'
Simion Michez ↔ Bill Leeroy Antonio
KV Mechelen
🔄
77'
Luc Marijnissen ↔ Massimo Decoene
KV Mechelen
🔄
86'
Bouke Boersma ↔ Malcolm Bendele Lohunanu-Mbasi
KV Mechelen
🔄
87'
Fredrik Hammar ↔ Marco Decherf
KV Mechelen
🟨
90+3'
Marco Decherf
KV Mechelen
🟨
90+4'
Jason Van Duiven
Lommel United

Lommel United vs KV Mechelen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.3%
1.53
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.4%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Lommel United Win 54.4%
Draw 20.8%
KV Mechelen Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lommel United1.47
KV Mechelen1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lommel United Lommel United
WWDLW
17 GF / 22 GA
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
6
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
7
2.83
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lommel United Lommel United 12 matches
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 13 matches
Lommel United Statistic KV Mechelen
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
17 Goals For 15
22 Goals Against 20
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
2.83 Shots On Goal 3
10.33 Total Shots 11.33
3.17 Corners 4.83
44.3% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lommel United's more proactive style and KV Mechelen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KV Mechelen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KV Mechelen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Lommel United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 7 points compared to KV Mechelen in 15 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lommel United expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and KV Mechelen in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KV Mechelen having the stronger overall control.

Lommel United Analysis

Lommel United are currently 10 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Reyners (3 goals), L. Schoofs (1 goals), Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu (1 goals), with creative support from J. van Duiven (3 assists), S. Appuah (1 assists), J. Talvitie (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

KV Mechelen Analysis

With 2 points from 6 games and a place of 15, KV Mechelen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. van Brederode (3 goals), T. Koudou (1 goals), Shina Ayodele (1 goals), with creative support from M. Lohunanu-Mbasi (1 assists), K. Van Rafelghem (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Lommel United won 2 times, KV Mechelen won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Lommel United's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Lommel United 4-1-4-1 / KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Lommel United wins 2, draws 1, KV Mechelen wins 2

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 21:3 18 19
W W W W W
2 7 6 1 0 13:4 9 19
W D W W W
3 7 6 0 1 15:7 8 18
W W L W W
4 6 5 0 1 12:3 9 15
W W L W W
5 7 4 1 2 7:5 2 13
W W D W L
6 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
L L W D W
7 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
8 6 3 0 3 7:10 -3 9
W W L L W
9 6 2 3 1 13:9 4 9
D D W D W
10 6 2 2 2 12:10 2 8
L W L W D
11 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
D L L W W
12 6 2 1 3 13:16 -3 7
W W D L L
13 7 2 1 4 11:15 -4 7
L L L L D
14 7 1 1 5 7:14 -7 4
L W L D L
15 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
W D L L L
16 7 0 3 4 8:14 -6 3
L D L L L
17 7 0 3 4 5:14 -9 3
D L L D L
18 6 0 0 6 1:15 -14 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League