RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
RZD Arena
Referee: E. Kukulyak
Lokomotiv
Match Timeline
Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
C. Montes ↔ G. Nyamsi
Lokomotiv
24'
N. Marichal · Assist: Bitello
Dynamo
🔄
46'
S. Pinyaev ↔ Z. Bakaev
Lokomotiv
🔄
46'
Arthur Gomes ↔ N. Moumi Ngamaleu
Dynamo
53'
A. Karpukas · Assist: A. Batrakov
Lokomotiv
🔄
57'
M. Majstorovic ↔ D. Skopintsev
Dynamo
🔄
58'
D. Vorobyev ↔ N. Komlichenko
Lokomotiv
🔄
63'
L. Chavez ↔ D. Glebov
Dynamo
🟨
70'
Gerzino Nyamsi
Lokomotiv
🔄
73'
D. Prutsev ↔ L. Vera
Lokomotiv
🔄
73'
A. Rudenko ↔ N. Saltykov
Lokomotiv
🔄
74'
Bitello ↔ I. Sergeev
Dynamo
🔄
74'
J. Caceres ↔ David Ricardo
Dynamo
🟨
77'
Dmitri Skopintsev
Dynamo
🟨
90+4'
Aleksey Batrakov
Lokomotiv
🟨
90+3'
David Ricardo
Dynamo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Win 50.5%
Draw 10.5%
Dynamo Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv1.68
Dynamo1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
WWDLW
51 GF / 35 GA
Dynamo Dynamo
WLDWL
46 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
18
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
16
5.37
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 27 matches
Dynamo Dynamo 27 matches
Lokomotiv Statistic Dynamo
13 Wins 10
10 Draws 8
4 Losses 9
51 Goals For 46
35 Goals Against 37
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
18 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 4
5.37 Shots On Goal 4.78
13.96 Total Shots 15.74
4.33 Corners 5.59
50.2% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dynamo.

Lokomotiv Analysis

Lokomotiv come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 49 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, while the 51:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Batrakov (13 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (6 goals), with creative support from A. Batrakov (8 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo are currently 8 in the standings with 38 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 46:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Sergeev (8 goals), Bitello (7 goals), K. Tyukavin (7 goals), with creative support from Bitello (7 assists), J. Caceres (5 assists), K. Tyukavin (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with B. Zaynutdinov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv won 4 times, Dynamo won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from Lokomotiv's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1 / Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lokomotiv 0, Dynamo 1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv wins 4, draws 5, Dynamo wins 5
Stats
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
Dynamo Dynamo
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 5
19 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 2
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
423 Total passes 421
326 Passes accurate 330
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lokomotiv
Formation
Dynamo
A. Mitryushkin
A. Mitryushkin
A. Silyanov
A. Silyanov
E. Morozov
E. Morozov
C. Montes
C. Montes
Lucas Fasson
Lucas Fasson
D. Prutsev
D. Prutsev
A. Karpukas
A. Karpukas
A. Rudenko
A. Rudenko
A. Batrakov
🎯
A. Batrakov
S. Pinyaev
S. Pinyaev
D. Vorobyev
D. Vorobyev
K. Rasulov
K. Rasulov
J. Caceres
J. Caceres
N. Marichal
N. Marichal
M. Osipenko
M. Osipenko
M. Majstorovic
M. Majstorovic
L. Chavez
L. Chavez
D. Fomin
D. Fomin
Y. Gladyshev
Y. Gladyshev
Bitello
🎯
Bitello
Arthur Gomes
Arthur Gomes
K. Tyukavin
K. Tyukavin
Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Mitryushkin
G
45
A. Silyanov
D
85
E. Morozov
D
23
C. Montes
↓ 22'
D
3
Lucas Fasson
D
25
D. Prutsev
↓ 73'
M
93
A. Karpukas
⚽ 53'
M
19
A. Rudenko
↓ 73'
M
83
A. Batrakov
🎯 53' 🟨 90+4'
M
9
S. Pinyaev
↓ 46'
M
10
D. Vorobyev
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
22
I. Lantratov
G
16
D. Veselov
G
94
A. Timofeev
M
27
N. Komlichenko
↑ 58'
F
32
L. Vera
↑ 73'
M
59
E. Pogostnov
D
14
N. Saltykov
↑ 73'
M
8
V. Sarveli
M
7
Z. Bakaev
↑ 46'
M
5
G. Nyamsi
↑ 22' 🟨 70'
D
90
D. Godyaev
M
74
D. Chevardin
D
Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
K. Rasulov
G
4
J. Caceres
↓ 74'
D
2
N. Marichal
⚽ 24'
D
55
M. Osipenko
D
5
M. Majstorovic
↓ 57'
D
24
L. Chavez
↓ 63'
M
74
D. Fomin
M
91
Y. Gladyshev
M
10
Bitello
🎯 24' ↓ 74'
M
11
Arthur Gomes
↓ 46'
M
70
K. Tyukavin
F
Substitutes
31
I. Leshchuk
G
7
D. Skopintsev
↑ 57' 🟨 77'
D
13
N. Moumi Ngamaleu
↑ 46'
F
21
A. Miranchuk
M
33
I. Sergeev
↑ 74'
F
17
U. Babaev
F
57
David Ricardo
↑ 74' 🟨 90+3'
D
56
L. Zaydenzal
D
88
V. Okishor
M
60
T. Marinkin
M
15
D. Glebov
↑ 63'
M
30
D. Aleksandrov
M
Last matches: Lokomotiv
18.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Rubin
1
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Akron
3
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Spartak Kostroma
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Znamya Truda
8
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Baltika
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Zenit
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akron
5
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Rubin
0
3
L
09.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
Last matches: Dynamo
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
5
2
W
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Akron
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Dinamo Moskva II
10
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Dynamo
Torpedo Moskva
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Baltika
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Sochi
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Rubin
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Akron
3
2
W
04.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Zenit
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Rostov
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
4
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
4
0
W
16.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
Ural
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
H2H: Lokomotiv vs Dynamo
01.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
3
5
W
15.03.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
2
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
0
2
L
28.11.24
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
0
1
L
05.11.24
H2H
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
1
2
W
27.07.24
H2H
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
3
1
L
03.03.24
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
2
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Dinamo Moscow
0
0
D
28.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
2
4
W
22.10.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Dinamo Moscow
1
3
W
10.07.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Dinamo Moscow
0
0
D
14.05.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Dinamo Moscow
3
3
D
27.08.21
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow
1
1
D
08.05.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Moscow
Dinamo Moscow
0
0
D
Last matches: Lokomotiv
18.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Rubin
1
3
L
14.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Akron
3
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Spartak Kostroma
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Znamya Truda
8
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Baltika
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Zenit
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akron
5
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Samarqand
4
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Yelimay Semey
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Urartu
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Noah
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Chengdu Better City
4
0
W
23.11.25
Pre
Lokomotiv
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lokomotiv
01.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
1
1
D
15.03.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
2
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
0
2
L
28.11.24
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
0
1
L
Last matches: Dynamo
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Akron
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Baltika
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Akron
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Rostov
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
4
1
W
16.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
Ural
1
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
Zenit
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Dynamo
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Dynamo
Akhmat
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Dynamo
Rubin
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pre
Dynamo
Zenit
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
3
2
W
21.09.25
Pre
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
31.08.25
Pre
Dynamo
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pre
Dynamo
FC Sochi
1
1
D
02.08.25
Pre
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
H2H away: Dynamo
01.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
1
1
D
15.03.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
2
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
0
2
W
28.11.24
H2H
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
0
1
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Lokomotiv 0 missing
No missing players data
Dynamo 1 missing
-
B. Zaynutdinov
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT