RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
01.05.2026 16:30
RZD Arena
Referee: E. Kukulyak
Lokomotiv
Match Timeline
Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
C. Montes ↔ G. Nyamsi
Lokomotiv
24'
N. Marichal · Assist: Bitello
Dynamo
🔄
46'
S. Pinyaev ↔ Z. Bakaev
Lokomotiv
🔄
46'
Arthur Gomes ↔ N. Moumi Ngamaleu
Dynamo
53'
A. Karpukas · Assist: A. Batrakov
Lokomotiv
🔄
57'
M. Majstorovic ↔ D. Skopintsev
Dynamo
🔄
58'
D. Vorobyev ↔ N. Komlichenko
Lokomotiv
🔄
63'
L. Chavez ↔ D. Glebov
Dynamo
🟨
70'
Gerzino Nyamsi
Lokomotiv
🔄
73'
D. Prutsev ↔ L. Vera
Lokomotiv
🔄
73'
A. Rudenko ↔ N. Saltykov
Lokomotiv
🔄
74'
Bitello ↔ I. Sergeev
Dynamo
🔄
74'
J. Caceres ↔ David Ricardo
Dynamo
🟨
77'
Dmitri Skopintsev
Dynamo
🟨
90+4'
Aleksey Batrakov
Lokomotiv
🟨
90+3'
David Ricardo
Dynamo

Lokomotiv vs Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Win 50.5%
Draw 10.5%
Dynamo Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv1.68
Dynamo1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
WWDLW
51 GF / 35 GA
Dynamo Dynamo
WLDWL
46 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
18
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
16
5.37
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 27 matches
Dynamo Dynamo 27 matches
Lokomotiv Statistic Dynamo
13 Wins 10
10 Draws 8
4 Losses 9
51 Goals For 46
35 Goals Against 37
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
18 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 4
5.37 Shots On Goal 4.78
13.96 Total Shots 15.74
4.33 Corners 5.59
50.2% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dynamo.

Lokomotiv Analysis

Lokomotiv come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 49 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, while the 51:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Batrakov (13 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (6 goals), with creative support from A. Batrakov (8 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo are currently 8 in the standings with 38 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 46:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Sergeev (8 goals), Bitello (7 goals), K. Tyukavin (7 goals), with creative support from Bitello (7 assists), J. Caceres (5 assists), K. Tyukavin (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with B. Zaynutdinov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv won 4 times, Dynamo won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from Lokomotiv's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1 / Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lokomotiv 0, Dynamo 1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv wins 4, draws 5, Dynamo wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation