Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Lokomotiv
Baltika
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lokomotiv
28 matches
Baltika
28 matches
| Lokomotiv | Statistic | Baltika |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 11 |
| 11 | Draws | 13 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 52 | Goals For | 37 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.64 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.29 | Shots On Goal | 4.04 |
| 13.96 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 4.39 | Corners | 3.46 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 46.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Baltika. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Baltika in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baltika having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Lokomotiv come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 50 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, while the 52:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Batrakov (13 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (6 goals), with creative support from A. Batrakov (9 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 46 points from 28 outings, Baltika continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 13 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 37:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Gil (13 goals), Maksim Petrov (7 goals), C. Offor (3 goals), with creative support from Ilya Petrov (4 assists), Ivan Belikov (3 assists), Nathan Gassama (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv won 6 times, Baltika won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Lokomotiv's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Lokomotiv
6
3
5
2
1
3
Lineups
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Spartak Kostroma
Lokomotiv
Znamya Truda
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
Zenit
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
Baltika
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
Tikveš
Baltika
Tikveš
Baltika
Akron
Baltika
Volga Ulyanovsk
Baltika
Dynamo
Baltika
Rubin
Baltika
Akron
Baltika
Akhmat
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
Dinamo Makhachkala
Baltika
FC Sochi
Baltika
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
FC Rostov
Baltika
Zenit
Baltika
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
Akhmat
Baltika
Kaisar
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Spartak Kostroma
Lokomotiv
Znamya Truda
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Zenit
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Samarqand
Lokomotiv
Yelimay Semey
Lokomotiv
FC Urartu
Lokomotiv
FC Noah
Lokomotiv
Chengdu Better City
Lokomotiv
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
Tikveš
Baltika
Tikveš
Baltika
Akron
Baltika
Akhmat
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
Dinamo Makhachkala
Baltika
FC Rostov
Baltika
Zenit
Baltika
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
Chelyabinsk
Baltika
FC Orenburg
Baltika
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
Rubin
Baltika
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Akron
Baltika
FC Sochi
Baltika
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
Spartak Moscow
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Lokomotiv
Home
|
30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Baltika
Away
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|