BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE

27.04.2026 17:00

Lokomotiv Sofia

1 - 1

Septemvri Sofia

Stadion Lokomotiv

Referee: D. Stalev

Lokomotiv Sofia

Match Timeline

Septemvri Sofia

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 80%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 67.7%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 64.9%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	80%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	67.7%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64.9%	-	▥
HT / FT	X-X	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Lokomotiv Sofia Win 80%

Draw 0%

Septemvri Sofia Win 20%

Expected Goals (xG)

Lokomotiv Sofia1.57

Septemvri Sofia1.02

Recent Form (Last 5)

Lokomotiv Sofia

WWDLW

40 GF / 39 GA

Septemvri Sofia

WLDWL

25 GF / 58 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

0.83

1.3

Average Goals Conceded

1.93

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.18

Shots on Goal

2.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia 30 matches

Septemvri Sofia 30 matches

Lokomotiv Sofia	Statistic	Septemvri Sofia
9	Wins	7
10	Draws	5
11	Losses	18
40	Goals For	25
39	Goals Against	58
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	0.83
1.3	Avg Goals Conceded	1.93
17	BTTS Yes	13
21	Over 1.5	22
15	Over 2.5	17
10	Over 3.5	9
7	Clean Sheets	7
9	Failed To Score	13
3.18	Shots On Goal	2.37
7.89	Total Shots	6.56
3.61	Corners	2.52
35.6%	Ball Possession	35.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 7 times, Septemvri Sofia won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:13 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (100%)

Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-1-4-1 / Septemvri Sofia 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 7, draws 3, Septemvri Sofia wins 4

Standings

A PFG: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Levski Sofia	30	22	4	4	64:22	42	70	D W D W W
2	Ludogorets	30	17	9	4	57:20	37	60	L D W W W
3	CSKA 1948	30	18	5	7	50:31	19	59	W W L W W
4	CSKA Sofia	30	16	8	6	43:23	20	56	D W W W L
5	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	30	11	13	6	30:33	-3	46	D D W W W
6	Cherno More Varna	30	11	11	8	33:26	7	44	L D L L W
7	Arda Kardzhali	30	12	8	10	33:27	6	44	W L W W W
8	Botev Plovdiv	30	11	7	12	40:37	3	40	W D W W L
9	Slavia Sofia	30	10	9	11	36:33	3	39	D L W L D
10	Botev Vratsa	30	9	11	10	24:26	-2	38	W L D L W
11	Lokomotiv Sofia Home	30	9	10	11	40:39	1	37	L W L L W
12	Spartak Varna	30	5	12	13	25:50	-25	27	D W L L L
13	Dobrudzha	30	7	5	18	23:43	-20	26	L L D L L
14	Septemvri Sofia Away	30	7	5	18	25:58	-33	26	D W D L L
15	Beroe	30	4	11	15	19:44	-25	23	D L L W L
16	Montana	30	3	8	19	15:45	-30	17	D L L L L

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