BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
06.09.2026 18:15
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: G. Davidov
Lokomotiv Sofia
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
I. Chochev · Assist: A. Marinov
Ludogorets
🟨
19'
Aleksandar Marinov
Ludogorets
29'
Caue Caruzo · Assist: E. Dost
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
33'
Erol Dost
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
46'
P. Stanic ↔ A. Camara
Ludogorets
🔄
53'
A. Marinov ↔ Caio Vidal
Ludogorets
🟨
55'
Krasimir Stanoev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
57'
Angel Lyaskov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
61'
Georgi Minchev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
62'
B. Tekpetey ↔ Erick Marcus
Ludogorets
76'
I. Chochev · Assist: Erick Marcus
Ludogorets
🔄
80'
I. Chochev ↔ F. Kaloc
Ludogorets
🔄
81'
Eiro ↔ R. Daskalov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
81'
E. Dost ↔ K. Miloshev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
81'
Caue Caruzo ↔ M. Papazov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
81'
G. Minchev ↔ A. Aralica
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
81'
Rwan Cruz ↔ K. Duah
Ludogorets
🔄
82'
S. Delev ↔ N. Penev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
88'
Hossam Abdelmaguid
Ludogorets
🟨
90+6'
Hendrik Bonmann
Ludogorets

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65%
1.53
BTTS Yes
88%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.85
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.18
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 26.7%
Draw 8.3%
Ludogorets Win 65%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Sofia1.29
Ludogorets1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WLDWL
33 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.06
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
11
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 15 matches
Ludogorets Ludogorets 16 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Statistic Ludogorets
3 Wins 10
6 Draws 5
6 Losses 1
19 Goals For 33
26 Goals Against 21
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.06
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
11 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ludogorets's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Sofia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ludogorets carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 16 points while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ludogorets look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ludogorets.

Lokomotiv Sofia Analysis

With 2 points from 5 games and a place of 14, Lokomotiv Sofia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ludogorets Analysis

Ludogorets approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 16 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 11:4 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 times, Ludogorets won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:26 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 1, draws 1, Ludogorets wins 8

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 9 7 2 0 23:6 17 23
W W D W W
3 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
4 10 7 1 2 19:10 9 22
W W L W L
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L L W W
6 10 5 1 4 16:14 2 16
W W W L L
7 10 2 5 3 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
8 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 10
D D D L L
9 10 2 3 5 9:19 -10 9
D D W L W
10 10 2 2 6 8:18 -10 8
L L L D W
11 9 2 0 7 4:12 -8 6
L W L L L
12 10 1 3 6 11:20 -9 6
D D L L W
13 10 1 2 7 10:19 -9 5
D L L D L
14 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D L D L
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