BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE

16.09.2026 16:00

Lokomotiv Sofia

0 - 2

CSKA Sofia

Stadion Lokomotiv

Referee: M. Velikov

Lokomotiv Sofia

Match Timeline

CSKA Sofia

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 66.1%

Odds 1.52

BTTS

Yes

Probability 63.2%

Odds 1.67

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 70.3%

Odds 1.55

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	66.1%	1.52	▥
BTTS	Yes	63.2%	1.67	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.3%	1.55	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	91.2%	1.31	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	4.50	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Lokomotiv Sofia Win 25.9%

Draw 8%

CSKA Sofia Win 66.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Lokomotiv Sofia1.27

CSKA Sofia1.83

Recent Form (Last 5)

Lokomotiv Sofia

WWDLW

22 GF / 30 GA

CSKA Sofia

WLDWL

47 GF / 31 GA

Key Stats

1.29

Average Goals Scored

1.88

1.76

Average Goals Conceded

1.24

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

0.6

Shots on Goal

2.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia 17 matches

CSKA Sofia 25 matches

Lokomotiv Sofia	Statistic	CSKA Sofia
3	Wins	14
7	Draws	5
7	Losses	6
22	Goals For	47
30	Goals Against	31
1.29	Avg Goals Scored	1.88
1.76	Avg Goals Conceded	1.24
13	BTTS Yes	13
14	Over 1.5	21
11	Over 2.5	18
7	Over 3.5	10
3	Clean Sheets	8
2	Failed To Score	8
0.6	Shots On Goal	2.15
1.6	Total Shots	1.31
1	Corners	1.31
8.4%	Ball Possession	16.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 0 times, CSKA Sofia won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:16 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92%)

Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Sofia 4-4-2

H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 0, draws 4, CSKA Sofia wins 7

Standings

A PFG

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21:4	17	25	D W W W W
2	CSKA Sofia Away	10	7	3	0	24:7	17	24	D W W D W
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16:7	9	23	W W D D W
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19:10	9	22	W W L W L
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15:12	3	17	D L L W W
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16:14	2	16	W W W L L
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9:8	1	11	L D W L D
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10	L D D D L
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9:19	-10	9	D D W L W
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8	L L L D W
11	Lokomotiv Sofia Home	10	1	4	5	11:18	-7	7	W L D L D
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5:13	-8	7	D L W L L
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11:20	-9	6	D D L L W
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10:19	-9	5	D L L D L

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