BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: A. Antov
Lokomotiv Sofia
Match Timeline
Botev Vratsa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
M. Ntelo · Assist: M. Smolenski
Botev Vratsa
9'
M. Ntelo · Assist: J. Gallegos
Botev Vratsa
🟨
32'
Ryan Bidounga
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
37'
Martin Smolenski
Botev Vratsa
🔄
37'
M. Smolenski ↔ D. Genov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
46'
N. Neychev ↔ D. Ali
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
46'
Caue Caruzo ↔ K. Miloshev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
46'
M. Petkov ↔ V. Naydenov
Botev Vratsa
48'
G. Minchev · Assist: A. Lyaskov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
71'
E. Dost ↔ J. Ibe
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
71'
M. Ntelo ↔ A. Stoyanov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
72'
J. Gallegos ↔ D. Jovicic
Botev Vratsa
🟨
74'
Bozhidar Katsarov
Lokomotiv Sofia
78'
G. Minchev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
81'
Angel Lyaskov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
83'
Dzhuneyt Ali
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
86'
K. Stanoev ↔ S. Dembele
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
90+3'
Spas Delev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
90+3'
Antoan Stoyanov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
90'
A. Taoui ↔ E. Gerov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
90'
↔ Y. Bornosuzov
Botev Vratsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 23.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 26%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
23.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
26%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 58.3%
Draw 5.3%
Botev Vratsa Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Sofia1.18
Botev Vratsa1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WWDLW
44 GF / 40 GA
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WLDWL
27 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
18
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
9
3.27
Shots on Goal
2.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 32 matches
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 32 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Statistic Botev Vratsa
10 Wins 10
11 Draws 12
11 Losses 10
44 Goals For 27
40 Goals Against 28
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
18 BTTS Yes 11
23 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 15
3.27 Shots On Goal 2.14
7.97 Total Shots 6.31
3.6 Corners 2.59
36.5% Ball Possession 32.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Lokomotiv Sofia's more proactive style and Botev Vratsa's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv Sofia expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Botev Vratsa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botev Vratsa having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botev Vratsa. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Lokomotiv Sofia Analysis

Lokomotiv Sofia are currently 10 in the standings with 41 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 44:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Delev (8 goals), Caue Caruzo (7 goals), A. Aralica (6 goals), with creative support from S. Delev (12 assists), Caue Caruzo (4 assists), Krasimir Stanoev (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa are currently 9 in the standings with 42 points from 32 matches. The record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 27:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Petkov (6 goals), Daniel Genov (3 goals), R. Tsonev (3 goals), with creative support from R. Tsonev (3 assists), José Gallegos (3 assists), V. Naydenov (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 7 times, Botev Vratsa won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-1-4-1 / Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 7, draws 4, Botev Vratsa wins 4

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
Formation
Botev Vratsa
M. Velichkov
M. Velichkov
B. Katsarov
B. Katsarov
R. Bidounga
R. Bidounga
A. Lyaskov
🎯
A. Lyaskov
Caue Caruzo
Caue Caruzo
K. Stanoev
K. Stanoev
E. Dost
E. Dost
N. Neychev
N. Neychev
A. Taoui
A. Taoui
S. Delev
S. Delev
G. Minchev
⚽ 2
G. Minchev
L. Vasilev
L. Vasilev
T. Ouorou
T. Ouorou
M. Stoev
M. Stoev
I. Goranov
I. Goranov
S. Sanyang
S. Sanyang
I. Yurukov
I. Yurukov
R. Tsonev
R. Tsonev
M. Petkov
M. Petkov
M. Smolenski
🎯
M. Smolenski
J. Gallegos
🎯
J. Gallegos
M. Ntelo
⚽ 2
M. Ntelo
Lokomotiv Sofia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
99
M. Velichkov
G
44
B. Katsarov
🟨 74'
D
91
R. Bidounga
🟨 32'
D
14
A. Lyaskov
🎯 48' 🟨 81'
D
77
Caue Caruzo
↓ 46'
31
K. Stanoev
↓ 86'
M
5
E. Dost
↓ 71'
M
42
N. Neychev
↓ 46'
D
11
A. Taoui
↓ 90'
M
7
S. Delev
🟨 90+3'
M
10
G. Minchev
⚽ 48' ⚽ 78'
F
Substitutes
24
A. Lyubenov
G
2
D. Ali
↑ 46' 🟨 83'
D
27
I. Lagundzic
D
4
S. Dembele
↑ 86'
26
K. Miloshev
↑ 46'
M
8
Luann
M
13
Diego Raposo
M
33
J. Ibe
↑ 71'
M
45
E. Gerov
↑ 90'
F
Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Vasilev
G
6
T. Ouorou
D
36
M. Stoev
D
44
I. Goranov
D
3
S. Sanyang
D
12
I. Yurukov
M
21
R. Tsonev
M
79
M. Petkov
↓ 46'
F
24
M. Smolenski
🎯 1' ↓ 37' 🟨 37'
M
17
J. Gallegos
🎯 9' ↓ 72'
M
20
M. Ntelo
⚽ 1' ⚽ 9' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
94
M. Orlinov
G
8
A. Stoyanov
↑ 71' 🟨 90+3'
M
9
D. Genov
↑ 37'
M
19
Y. Bornosuzov
↑ 90'
F
55
D. Jovicic
↑ 72'
D
81
K. Hadji
M
88
L. Boyanov
D
97
V. Naydenov
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
21.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Teuta Durrës
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dukagjini
3
3
D
26.06.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Drita
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
27.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
3
L
09.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
3
L
17.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
08.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
3
4
L
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
19.07.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Beitar Jerusalem
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Pleven
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
22.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
14.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
10.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
06.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
H2H: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
05.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
14.04.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
07.05.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
3
0
W
14.02.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
W
23.08.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
06.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
17.05.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
06.11.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
2
W
17.07.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
02.05.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
1
L
14.10.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
08.05.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
18.04.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
12.03.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
11.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Teuta Durrës
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dukagjini
3
3
D
26.06.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Drita
2
1
W
18.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
17.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Sportist Svoge
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Podbrezová
1
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Radnik Surdulica
0
2
L
06.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
28.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
08.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
24.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
2
D
19.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
H2H at home: Lokomotiv Sofia
05.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
08.11.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
07.05.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
3
0
W
23.08.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
06.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
17.05.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
17.07.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
14.10.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
18.04.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
12.03.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
18.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
06.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
3
1
W
04.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
30.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Ludogorets
0
2
L
08.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
17.10.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
3
L
28.09.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
12.09.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
2
L
24.08.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
08.08.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
01.08.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
20.07.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
2
2
D
H2H away: Botev Vratsa
05.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
08.11.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
W
07.05.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
3
0
L
23.08.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
W
06.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
17.05.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
17.07.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
L
14.10.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
L
18.04.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
efbet League (Relegation Group)