BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
26.07.2026 18:15
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: V. Chinkov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Match Timeline
Septemvri Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
J. Lamy
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
7'
Pedro Ferreira
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
15'
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
31'
G. Ivanov ↔ S. Stoichkov
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
41'
Cătălin Itu
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
45'
A. Dzhamov · Assist: F. Herard
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
65'
J. Lamy ↔ C. Longville
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
71'
Lucas Ryan ↔ M. Petrovic
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
71'
P. Umarbaev ↔ M. Trdan
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
73'
Sebas Wade
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
78'
F. Herard ↔ N. Fontaine
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
85'
A. Dzhamov ↔ A. Liberal
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
85'
Y. Baurenski ↔ Z. A. Atanasov
Septemvri Sofia
88'
K. Onasci
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 58.6%
Draw 4.7%
Septemvri Sofia Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.22
Septemvri Sofia0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WLDWL
13 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
1
BTTS Yes
5
0
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 7 matches
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 11 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Statistic Septemvri Sofia
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 6
7 Goals For 13
2 Goals Against 17
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
1 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 9
0 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 7 times, Septemvri Sofia won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1 / Septemvri Sofia 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 7, draws 3, Septemvri Sofia wins 5

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 24:7 17 24
D W W D W
3 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
4 10 7 1 2 19:10 9 22
W W L W L
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L L W W
6 10 5 1 4 16:14 2 16
W W W L L
7 10 2 5 3 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
8 10 2 4 4 10:15 -5 10
L D D D L
9 10 2 3 5 9:19 -10 9
D D W L W
10 10 2 2 6 8:18 -10 8
L L L D W
11 10 1 4 5 11:18 -7 7
W L D L D
12 10 2 1 7 5:13 -8 7
D L W L L
13 10 1 3 6 11:20 -9 6
D D L L W
14 10 1 2 7 10:19 -9 5
D L L D L
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