Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
48.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
15 matches
CSKA Sofia
26 matches
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Statistic | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 15 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 11 | Goals For | 49 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 3.76 |
| 5.44 | Total Shots | 5.06 |
| 2.89 | Corners | 3.29 |
| 24% | Ball Possession | 26.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around CSKA Sofia's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Plovdiv's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA Sofia in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Sofia having the stronger overall control. CSKA Sofia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CSKA Sofia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 17 points while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward CSKA Sofia.
With 6 points from 8 games and a place of 11, Lokomotiv Plovdiv still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 4:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 3 place with 17 points from 7 games, CSKA Sofia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 17:5 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 6 times, CSKA Sofia won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:4 | 19 | 28 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
CSKA Sofia
Away
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27:9 | 18 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21:7 | 14 | 26 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 22 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 8 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Home
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 6 |
L
D
D
L
L
|