BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: D. Dimitrov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Match Timeline
Botev Plovdiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
J. Zwarts · Assist: T. Pavlov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
34'
N. Iliev
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
49'
Andrei Chindriş
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
54'
Lucas Araujo
Botev Plovdiv
54'
J. Zwarts
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
59'
C. Meotti ↔ Pedro Igor
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
59'
Lucas Araujo ↔ E. Martinho da Silva
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
59'
I. Videv ↔ W. Chimezie
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
68'
Efe Ali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
75'
T. Pavlov ↔ M. Atanasov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
85'
Edson Silva
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
85'
Mascote ↔ I. Dorgu
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
87'
S. Idriz ↔ A. Velev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
88'
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski ↔ J. Lamy
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
90+1'
Cătălin Itu
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 51.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
51.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 40.8%
Draw 11.4%
Botev Plovdiv Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.1
Botev Plovdiv1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WWDLW
34 GF / 36 GA
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
WLDWL
44 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
14
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
19
2.68
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 34 matches
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 34 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Statistic Botev Plovdiv
13 Wins 12
13 Draws 7
8 Losses 15
34 Goals For 44
36 Goals Against 43
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
14 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 26
10 Over 2.5 19
5 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 11
2.68 Shots On Goal 3.25
7.13 Total Shots 9.09
2.42 Corners 3.59
30.5% Ball Possession 36.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Botev Plovdiv's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Plovdiv's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botev Plovdiv.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 52 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 13 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 34:40 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Juan Perea (9 goals), J. Zwarts (6 goals), Lucas Ryan (4 goals), with creative support from Cătălin Itu (6 assists), Parvizdzhon Umarbaev (5 assists), J. Lamy (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botev Plovdiv Analysis

Botev Plovdiv sit 8 with 46 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 48:43, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mascote (9 goals), A. Okoflex (8 goals), N. Minkov (4 goals), with creative support from A. Okoflex (6 assists), N. Minkov (6 assists), Todor Nedelev (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 times, Botev Plovdiv won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1 / Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 5, draws 6, Botev Plovdiv wins 4

Lineups

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Formation
Botev Plovdiv
B. Milosavljevic
B. Milosavljevic
A. Chindris
A. Chindris
Lucas Ryan
Lucas Ryan
K. Kostov
K. Kostov
T. Pavlov
🎯
T. Pavlov
M. Trdan
M. Trdan
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
E. Ali
E. Ali
S. Idriz
S. Idriz
J. Zwarts
⚽ 2
J. Zwarts
C. Itu
C. Itu
D. Naumov
D. Naumov
A. Conte
A. Conte
S. Petrov
S. Petrov
I. Videv
I. Videv
K. Balogiannis
K. Balogiannis
Lucas Araujo
Lucas Araujo
C. Algarra
C. Algarra
S. Kalu
S. Kalu
N. Iliev
N. Iliev
C. Meotti
C. Meotti
Mascote
Mascote
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
B. Milosavljevic
G
4
A. Chindris
🟨 49'
D
13
Lucas Ryan
D
44
K. Kostov
D
5
T. Pavlov
🎯 21' ↓ 75'
D
3
M. Trdan
M
29
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
↓ 88'
M
12
E. Ali
🟨 68'
M
7
S. Idriz
↓ 87'
M
77
J. Zwarts
⚽ 21' ⚽ 54'
F
94
C. Itu
🟨 90+1'
M
Substitutes
40
P. Zovko
G
16
D. Kirashki
D
33
M. Atanasov
↑ 75'
M
99
J. Lamy
↑ 88'
M
11
Z. Dinev
39
P. Umarbaev
M
9
A. Velev
↑ 87'
F
19
M. Vangelov
23
R. Palazov
D
Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
D. Naumov
G
19
A. Conte
D
87
S. Petrov
D
42
I. Videv
↓ 59'
38
K. Balogiannis
D
77
Lucas Araujo
↓ 59' 🟨 54'
M
14
C. Algarra
M
90
S. Kalu
M
7
N. Iliev
⚽ 34'
M
44
C. Meotti
↓ 59'
F
30
Mascote
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
21
N. Prandzhev
4
N. Soldo
D
11
Pedro Igor
↑ 59'
F
13
S. Tsonov
M
23
I. Dorgu
↑ 85'
F
27
B. Hein
D
28
H. Jocu
M
45
E. Martinho da Silva
↑ 59'
88
W. Chimezie
↑ 59'
F
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
18.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
12.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
08.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
13.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
5
L
02.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
21.07.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Ballkani
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Pleven
4
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
5
0
W
12.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
09.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
20.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
1
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
H2H: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
25.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
03.05.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
W
08.04.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
12.02.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0
4
L
01.12.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
28.07.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
2
D
03.11.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
16.07.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
03.09.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
1
L
25.09.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
28.11.20
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
6
0
W
09.08.20
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
L
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
08.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
5
L
21.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
27.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Asia Talas
1
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
1
D
06.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
28.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Montana
0
0
D
08.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
1
0
W
17.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
3
0
W
26.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
14.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
1
D
15.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
02.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
21.07.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
H2H at home: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
12.02.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0
4
L
01.12.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
16.07.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
03.09.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
25.09.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
28.11.20
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
6
0
W
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
09.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
20.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
27.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Montana
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
3
L
06.12.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
3
L
02.12.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
22.11.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
24.10.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
2
3
L
05.10.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
21.09.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
3
1
W
31.08.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
2
L
16.08.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
2
1
W
27.07.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
2
L
H2H away: Botev Plovdiv
25.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
L
12.02.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
L
01.11.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0
4
W
01.12.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
W
16.07.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
03.09.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
L
25.09.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
28.11.20
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
6
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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