BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: V. Minev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Match Timeline
Arda Kardzhali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Serkan Yusein
Arda Kardzhali
🟨
42'
Cătălin Itu
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
51'
Andrei Chindriş
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
53'
Vyacheslav Velev
Arda Kardzhali
55'
S. Idriz · Assist: J. Zwarts
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
58'
A. Shinyashiki ↔ S. Kovachev
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
58'
W. Samake ↔ Patrick Luan
Arda Kardzhali
🟥
62'
Patrick Luan
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
67'
S. Yusein ↔ A. Kabov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
68'
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski ↔ P. Umarbaev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
75'
B. Karagaren ↔ A. Vutov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
79'
C. Itu ↔ D. Iliev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
80'
I. Ivanov ↔ J. Lamy
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
81'
J. Zwarts
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
85'
A. Chindris ↔ M. Trdan
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
85'
E. Ali ↔ K. Kostov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
88'
Calal Huseinov
Arda Kardzhali

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78%
-
BTTS BTTS No
80.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 43.4%
Draw 22%
Arda Kardzhali Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.97
Arda Kardzhali1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WWDLW
32 GF / 30 GA
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
WLDWL
39 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
14
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
12
2.96
Shots on Goal
3.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31 matches
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 38 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Statistic Arda Kardzhali
12 Wins 14
13 Draws 11
6 Losses 13
32 Goals For 39
30 Goals Against 34
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
14 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 17
8 Failed To Score 18
2.96 Shots On Goal 3.09
7.89 Total Shots 7.77
2.68 Corners 2.89
33.8% Ball Possession 37.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Arda Kardzhali's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Plovdiv's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Arda Kardzhali in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arda Kardzhali having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arda Kardzhali. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 49 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 13 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan Perea (7 goals), J. Zwarts (5 goals), Lucas Ryan (4 goals), with creative support from Cătălin Itu (6 assists), Parvizdzhon Umarbaev (5 assists), J. Lamy (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arda Kardzhali Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Arda Kardzhali have collected 45 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 33:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Karagaren (7 goals), A. Vutov (4 goals), Dimitar Velkovski (3 goals), with creative support from Svetoslav Kovachev (4 assists), L. Kotev (4 assists), B. Karagaren (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 6 times, Arda Kardzhali won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1 / Arda Kardzhali 4-4-2
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 6, draws 3, Arda Kardzhali wins 4

Lineups

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Formation
Arda Kardzhali
B. Milosavljevic
B. Milosavljevic
A. Cova
A. Cova
A. Chindris
A. Chindris
Lucas Ryan
Lucas Ryan
T. Pavlov
T. Pavlov
I. Ivanov
I. Ivanov
E. Ali
E. Ali
S. Idriz
S. Idriz
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
C. Itu
C. Itu
J. Zwarts
🎯
J. Zwarts
A. Gospodinov
A. Gospodinov
V. Velev
V. Velev
F. Eboa
F. Eboa
E. Viyachki
E. Viyachki
D. Velkovski
D. Velkovski
L. Kotev
L. Kotev
C. Huseynov
C. Huseynov
A. Shinyashiki
A. Shinyashiki
S. Yusein
S. Yusein
B. Karagaren
B. Karagaren
W. Samake
W. Samake
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Milosavljevic
G
2
A. Cova
D
4
A. Chindris
↓ 85' 🟨 51'
D
13
Lucas Ryan
D
5
T. Pavlov
D
22
I. Ivanov
↓ 80'
M
12
E. Ali
↓ 85'
M
7
S. Idriz
⚽ 55'
M
29
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
↓ 68'
M
94
C. Itu
↓ 79' 🟨 42'
M
77
J. Zwarts
⚽ 81' 🎯 55'
F
Substitutes
40
P. Zovko
G
3
M. Trdan
↑ 85'
M
9
A. Velev
F
10
Francisco Politino
M
14
D. Iliev
↑ 79'
F
33
M. Atanasov
M
39
P. Umarbaev
↑ 68'
M
44
K. Kostov
↑ 85'
D
99
J. Lamy
↑ 80'
M
Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Gospodinov
G
21
V. Velev
🟨 53'
D
93
F. Eboa
D
23
E. Viyachki
D
35
D. Velkovski
D
80
L. Kotev
M
18
C. Huseynov
🟨 88'
D
11
A. Shinyashiki
↓ 58'
M
20
S. Yusein
↓ 67' 🟨 34'
M
99
B. Karagaren
↓ 75'
M
30
W. Samake
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
12
I. Nedelchev
G
4
D. Idowu
M
6
P. Krachunov
D
8
A. Kabov
↑ 67'
M
10
S. Kovachev
↑ 58'
M
17
Patrick Luan
↑ 58' 🟥 62'
F
24
M. Paskalev
D
26
B. Akandzha
M
39
A. Vutov
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
18.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
12.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
13.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
5
L
02.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
Last matches: Arda Kardzhali
18.07.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
07.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Beitar Jerusalem
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
3
2
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4
0
W
12.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
03.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
1
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
16.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
27.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
22.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
0
0
D
H2H: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
04.07.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
16.05.26
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4
0
L
08.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
30.04.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
22.04.26
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
4
W
06.12.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
11.08.25
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
05.07.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
15.01.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
23.11.24
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4
2
L
20.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
03.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
W
08.09.23
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
1
L
18.08.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
5
L
21.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
27.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Asia Talas
1
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
1
D
06.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
28.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Montana
0
0
D
08.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
1
0
W
17.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
3
0
W
26.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
14.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
1
D
15.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
02.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
21.07.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
H2H at home: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
04.07.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
08.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
30.04.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
05.07.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
15.01.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
03.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
18.08.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
Last matches: Arda Kardzhali
18.07.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
3
2
W
12.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
09.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Wieczysta Kraków
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Kudrivka
1
1
D
06.12.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
W
28.11.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
3
2
W
24.10.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
1
1
D
05.10.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
H2H away: Arda Kardzhali
04.07.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
L
08.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
L
30.04.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
W
05.07.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
15.01.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
L
03.07.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
18.08.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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