UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Cherkasy Arena
Referee: O. Kohut
LNZ Cherkasy
Match Timeline
SK Poltava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Y. Tverdokhlib · Assist: D. Kuzyk
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
46'
I. Ukhan ↔ M. Buzhyn
SK Poltava
🟨
54'
Artur Ryabov
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
61'
Y. Tverdokhlib ↔ V. Tankovskiy
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
61'
A. Mykytyshyn ↔ M. Jashari
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
70'
D. Sukhoruchko ↔ B. Kobzar
SK Poltava
🔄
70'
V. Odaryuk ↔ O. Vivdych
SK Poltava
🔄
72'
D. Plakhtyr ↔ M. Marusych
SK Poltava
73'
D. Kuzyk · Assist: M. Assinor
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
79'
Y. Pastukh ↔ A. Yakubu
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
79'
M. Assinor ↔ D. Kravchuk
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
81'
V. Sad ↔ O. Pyatov
SK Poltava
🔄
87'
A. Ryabov ↔ A. Dajko
LNZ Cherkasy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
62.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
LNZ Cherkasy Win 92.2%
Draw 0%
SK Poltava Win 7.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
LNZ Cherkasy1.83
SK Poltava0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
WWDLW
36 GF / 16 GA
SK Poltava SK Poltava
WLDWL
23 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.59
Average Goals Conceded
2.59
6
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
18
3.21
Shots on Goal
1.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 27 matches
SK Poltava SK Poltava 27 matches
LNZ Cherkasy Statistic SK Poltava
16 Wins 2
6 Draws 6
5 Losses 19
36 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 70
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2.59
6 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 25
8 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 13
18 Clean Sheets 1
7 Failed To Score 12
3.21 Shots On Goal 1.25
8.29 Total Shots 4.29
3.63 Corners 2
31% Ball Possession 24.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by LNZ Cherkasy's more proactive style and SK Poltava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. SK Poltava arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SK Poltava. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LNZ Cherkasy expected to line up in 3-5-2 and SK Poltava in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SK Poltava having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. LNZ Cherkasy arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 54 points compared to SK Poltava in 16 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

LNZ Cherkasy Analysis

LNZ Cherkasy arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 54 points after 27 matches. The record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 36:16 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mark Assinor (8 goals), P. Obah (8 goals), Artur Ryabov (3 goals), with creative support from P. Obah (3 assists), M. Jashari (3 assists), S. Nonikashvili (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

SK Poltava Analysis

SK Poltava approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 12 points from 27 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 23:70, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Marusych (3 goals), V. Odaryuk (3 goals), D. Plakhtyr (2 goals), with creative support from V. Odaryuk (3 assists), A. Doroshenko (2 assists), M. Marusych (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, LNZ Cherkasy won 4 times, SK Poltava won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from LNZ Cherkasy's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: LNZ Cherkasy 3-5-2 / SK Poltava 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: LNZ Cherkasy wins 4, draws 0, SK Poltava wins 1
Stats
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
7 Corner Kicks 0
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
364 Total passes 427
286 Passes accurate 336
1.99 expected_goals 0.47
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

LNZ Cherkasy
Formation
SK Poltava
O. Palamarchuk
O. Palamarchuk
O. Gorin
O. Gorin
R. Didyk
R. Didyk
O. Drambayev
O. Drambayev
G. Pasich
G. Pasich
Y. Pastukh
Y. Pastukh
A. Ryabov
A. Ryabov
Y. Tverdokhlib
Y. Tverdokhlib
D. Kuzyk
🎯
D. Kuzyk
M. Assinor
🎯
M. Assinor
A. Mykytyshyn
A. Mykytyshyn
M. Minchev
M. Minchev
I. Ukhan
I. Ukhan
Y. Misyura
Y. Misyura
V. Pidlepych
V. Pidlepych
A. Savenkov
A. Savenkov
D. Plakhtyr
D. Plakhtyr
V. Danylenko
V. Danylenko
V. Odaryuk
V. Odaryuk
V. Sad
V. Sad
D. Galenkov
D. Galenkov
D. Sukhoruchko
D. Sukhoruchko
LNZ Cherkasy 3-5-2
Starting XI
12
O. Palamarchuk
G
25
O. Gorin
D
29
R. Didyk
D
14
O. Drambayev
D
11
G. Pasich
M
19
Y. Pastukh
↓ 79'
M
16
A. Ryabov
↓ 87' 🟨 54'
M
22
Y. Tverdokhlib
⚽ 8' ↓ 61'
M
17
D. Kuzyk
⚽ 73' 🎯 8'
M
90
M. Assinor
🎯 73' ↓ 79'
F
7
A. Mykytyshyn
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Ledviy
G
72
K. Samoylenko
G
4
A. Dajko
↑ 87'
M
8
A. Yakubu
↑ 79'
M
33
I. Putrya
24
M. Podolyak
6
V. Tankovskiy
↑ 61'
M
34
N. Muravskyi
D
27
J. Bennette
M
18
Awudu Abdul
10
M. Jashari
↑ 61'
F
23
D. Kravchuk
↑ 79'
F
SK Poltava 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Minchev
G
24
I. Ukhan
↓ 46'
D
20
Y. Misyura
D
5
V. Pidlepych
D
12
A. Savenkov
D
44
D. Plakhtyr
↓ 72'
M
15
V. Danylenko
M
8
V. Odaryuk
↓ 70'
M
10
V. Sad
↓ 81'
M
7
D. Galenkov
M
38
D. Sukhoruchko
↓ 70'
Substitutes
96
D. Yermolov
G
19
M. Buzhyn
↑ 46'
D
2
M. Kononov
D
93
B. Kobzar
↑ 70'
F
88
O. Vivdych
↑ 70'
14
M. Marusych
↑ 72'
M
11
O. Pyatov
↑ 81'
M
Last matches: LNZ Cherkasy
24.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Obolon'-Brovar
1
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kudrivka
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kryvbas KR
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Oleksandria
2
0
W
09.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Veres Rivne
3
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Polessya
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Riga
1
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Kolos Kovalivka
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
FK Sarajevo
2
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
Last matches: SK Poltava
23.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kryvbas KR
3
3
D
24.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kolos Kovalivka
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Obolon'-Brovar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Polessya
0
4
L
03.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
3
3
D
19.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Karpaty
0
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
0
4
L
02.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kudrivka
0
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Veres Rivne
2
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
SK Poltava
Bukovyna
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
SK Poltava
Inhulets
4
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Ruh Lviv
1
2
L
08.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
3
L
01.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
21.11.25
Pre
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
7
L
H2H: LNZ Cherkasy vs SK Poltava
13.05.26
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
2
0
W
21.11.25
H2H
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
W
30.06.24
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
0
1
L
06.11.22
H2H
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
W
16.09.22
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
1
0
W
Last matches: LNZ Cherkasy
09.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Oleksandria
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Polessya
1
3
L
12.02.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Riga
1
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
FK Sarajevo
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Zorya Luhansk
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Obolon'-Brovar
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kudrivka
1
0
W
03.11.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kolos Kovalivka
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kryvbas KR
0
0
D
21.09.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Veres Rivne
0
2
L
09.08.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
H2H at home: LNZ Cherkasy
13.05.26
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
2
0
W
30.06.24
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
0
1
L
16.09.22
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
1
0
W
Last matches: SK Poltava
23.05.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Kolos Kovalivka
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Obolon'-Brovar
1
1
D
19.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
2
L
08.03.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
0
4
L
20.02.26
Pre
SK Poltava
Veres Rivne
2
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
SK Poltava
Bukovyna
0
1
L
01.12.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
7
L
01.11.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Kryvbas KR
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Polessya
0
4
L
27.09.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
0
1
L
14.09.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Karpaty
1
1
D
17.08.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Kudrivka
1
3
L
01.08.25
Pre
SK Poltava
Ruh Lviv
1
2
L
H2H away: SK Poltava
13.05.26
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
2
0
L
30.06.24
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
0
1
W
16.09.22
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga