Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Liverpool
Chelsea
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Liverpool
51 matches
Chelsea
50 matches
| Liverpool | Statistic | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wins | 23 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 17 | Losses | 17 |
| 93 | Goals For | 94 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 69 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 42 |
| 32 | Over 2.5 | 35 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.39 | Shots On Goal | 5.12 |
| 16.37 | Total Shots | 14.34 |
| 6.12 | Corners | 6.16 |
| 58% | Ball Possession | 58.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chelsea. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Chelsea arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Liverpool come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 58 points after 35 matches. The return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 59:47, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Ekitike (11 goals), C. Gakpo (7 goals), M. Salah (7 goals), with creative support from M. Salah (6 assists), C. Gakpo (5 assists), D. Szoboszlai (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Chelsea approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 48 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 54:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Pedro (15 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (8 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool won 4 times, Chelsea won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Liverpool's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Liverpool
3
3
4
2
1
1
Lineups
Liverpool
Brentford
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Manchester United
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Everton
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
Manchester City
Chelsea
Sunderland
Chelsea
Tottenham
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Brighton
Chelsea
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Port Vale
Chelsea
Everton
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Wrexham
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea
Burnley
Chelsea
Hull City
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Wolves
Liverpool
Brentford
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Newcastle
Liverpool
Qarabag
Liverpool
Burnley
Liverpool
Barnsley
Liverpool
Leeds
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
PSV Eindhoven
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Real Madrid
Chelsea
Sunderland
Chelsea
Brighton
Chelsea
Everton
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Wrexham
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea
Hull City
Chelsea
Wolves
Chelsea
Napoli
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Charlton
Chelsea
Fulham
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea
Atalanta
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Burnley
Chelsea
Qarabag
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Liverpool
Home
|
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Away
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|