22.05.2026 22:30
Estadio Belvedere
Referee: J. Feres
Liverpool Montevideo
Match Timeline
Racing Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Santiago Laquidaín
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
52'
Rubén Bentancourt
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
61'
Ramiro Matias Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
62'
Agustín Álvarez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
65'
T. Habib ↔ I. Manzur
Racing Montevideo
🔄
66'
F. Suarez ↔ E. Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🔄
68'
R. Bentancourt ↔ R. Machado
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
70'
Guillermo Cotugno
Racing Montevideo
🔄
72'
S. Laquidain ↔ A. Cayetano
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
72'
R. M. Degregorio ↔ D. Zabala
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
77'
E. De Los Santos ↔ L. Loprete
Racing Montevideo
🔄
77'
A. Alvarez Wallace ↔ N. Sosa
Racing Montevideo
🟨
79'
Lucas Acosta
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
83'
L. Acosta ↔ N. Garayalde
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
83'
F. Martinez ↔ F. Barcelo
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
84'
Nicolás Garayalde
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
90+1'
Facundo Barceló
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
90+5'
Álex Vázquez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
90+2'
G. Cotugno ↔ E. Bentancor
Racing Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Montevideo Win 24.8%
Draw 4%
Racing Montevideo Win 71.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool Montevideo1.08
Racing Montevideo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WWDLW
22 GF / 22 GA
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WLDWL
24 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
6
3.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 18 matches
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 16 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Statistic Racing Montevideo
5 Wins 10
6 Draws 4
7 Losses 2
22 Goals For 24
22 Goals Against 14
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 0
11.5 Total Shots 0
4 Corners 0
56% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Liverpool Montevideo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Racing Montevideo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Montevideo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Liverpool Montevideo sit 9 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Liverpool Montevideo have collected 20 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 20:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Martinez (7 goals), D. Romero (3 goals), F. Barcelo (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

Placed 1 with 31 points from 15 outings, Racing Montevideo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 23:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Habib (4 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), G. Cotugno (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 4 times, Racing Montevideo won 2 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Liverpool Montevideo 4-2-3-1 / Racing Montevideo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Liverpool Montevideo wins 4, draws 9, Racing Montevideo wins 2

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 44:22 22 52
W W L D W
2 28 14 10 4 35:22 13 52
W L W D W
3 27 15 5 7 47:31 16 50
W W W W W
4 28 14 7 7 42:27 15 49
L W L D W
5 28 13 4 11 40:36 4 43
D D W W L
6 28 12 7 9 35:34 1 43
D L W L D
7 28 11 9 8 37:27 10 42
L W D W W
8 28 10 8 10 30:33 -3 38
D D L L L
9 28 9 7 12 36:35 1 34
L L L L L
10 28 8 9 11 28:30 -2 33
D L D D D
11 28 8 8 12 32:38 -6 32
D D W W L
12 28 7 11 10 23:30 -7 32
W D L D L
13 28 9 5 14 22:41 -19 32
W W D L W
14 28 8 6 14 27:38 -11 30
L L D W D
15 28 4 13 11 23:37 -14 25
D L L D D
16 28 6 4 18 21:41 -20 22
L W W L L
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