URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Belvedere
Referee: E. Ostojich
Liverpool Montevideo
Match Timeline
Club Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ramiro Degregorio
Liverpool Montevideo
21'
M. Gomez
Club Nacional
28'
R. Bentancourt
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
29'
Maximiliano Gómez
Club Nacional
🟨
33'
Santiago Strasorier
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
42'
Enzo Castillo
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
45'
Sebastián Coates
Club Nacional
🔄
46'
A. Dos Santos ↔ C. Candido
Club Nacional
🔄
46'
N. Lodeiro ↔ J. De Los Santos
Club Nacional
🔄
51'
D. Zabala ↔ D. Romero
Liverpool Montevideo
56'
M. Gomez
Club Nacional
🔄
64'
F. Perdomo ↔ F. Barcelo
Liverpool Montevideo
🟥
71'
Martín Rabuñal
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
78'
E. Olivera ↔ G. de Mello
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
78'
P. Nunez ↔ T. Veron
Club Nacional
🟨
83'
Nicolás Garayalde
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
83'
B. Barcia ↔ R. Martinez
Club Nacional
🟨
85'
Agustín Rogel
Club Nacional
🔄
90+4'
L. Boggio ↔ L. Gonzalez
Club Nacional
90'
T. Veron
Club Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Montevideo Win 31.3%
Draw 27.8%
Club Nacional Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool Montevideo1.26
Club Nacional1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Club Nacional Club Nacional
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
6
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
7
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 13 matches
Club Nacional Club Nacional 13 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Statistic Club Nacional
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
16 Goals For 20
15 Goals Against 17
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
6 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.5
11.5 Total Shots 10
4 Corners 6.5
56% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Club Nacional's more proactive style and Liverpool Montevideo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Liverpool Montevideo expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Club Nacional in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Nacional having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Club Nacional arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Club Nacional. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo sit 6 with 16 points after 11 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Martinez (5 goals), D. Romero (2 goals), F. Barcelo (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Nacional Analysis

With 16 points from 11 games and a place of 8, Club Nacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 16:15 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Gomez (5 goals), T. Veron (3 goals), N. Lopez (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 3 times, Club Nacional won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.2%)
Predicted formations: Liverpool Montevideo 4-5-1 / Club Nacional 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Liverpool Montevideo wins 3, draws 5, Club Nacional wins 7

Lineups

Liverpool Montevideo
Formation
Club Nacional
M. Campana
M. Campana
F. Perdomo
F. Perdomo
S. Strasorier
S. Strasorier
S. Laquidain
S. Laquidain
E. Castillo
E. Castillo
N. Garayalde
N. Garayalde
M. Rabunal
M. Rabunal
K. Amaro
K. Amaro
E. Olivera
E. Olivera
D. Zabala
D. Zabala
R. Bentancourt
R. Bentancourt
L. Mejia
L. Mejia
N. Rodriguez
N. Rodriguez
S. Coates
S. Coates
A. Rogel
A. Rogel
B. Barcia
B. Barcia
P. Nunez
P. Nunez
N. Lodeiro
N. Lodeiro
L. Boggio
L. Boggio
L. Rodriguez
L. Rodriguez
A. Dos Santos
A. Dos Santos
M. Gomez
⚽ 2
M. Gomez
Liverpool Montevideo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
M. Campana
G
4
F. Perdomo
↓ 64'
D
3
S. Strasorier
🟨 33'
D
15
S. Laquidain
D
23
E. Castillo
🟨 42'
D
5
N. Garayalde
🟨 83'
M
20
M. Rabunal
🟥 71'
M
24
K. Amaro
M
29
E. Olivera
↓ 78'
M
22
D. Zabala
↓ 51'
M
11
R. Bentancourt
⚽ 28'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bernatene
G
18
A. Cayetano
D
27
D. Romero
↑ 51'
D
34
K. Lewis
D
16
L. Acosta
M
8
M. Mir
M
17
G. de Mello
↑ 78'
M
9
R. Machado
F
10
R. M. Degregorio
🟨 -5'
F
31
F. Barcelo
↑ 64'
F
Club Nacional 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
L. Mejia
G
77
N. Rodriguez
D
4
S. Coates
🟨 45'
D
2
A. Rogel
🟨 85'
D
30
B. Barcia
↓ 83'
M
18
P. Nunez
↓ 78'
F
14
N. Lodeiro
↓ 46'
M
6
L. Boggio
↓ 90+4'
M
23
L. Rodriguez
M
10
A. Dos Santos
↓ 46'
9
M. Gomez
⚽ 21' ⚽ 56' 🟨 29'
F
Substitutes
25
I. Suarez
G
15
P. Calione
D
32
T. Viera
5
J. Pintado
D
21
C. Candido
↑ 46'
D
56
J. I. Garcia Lantean
M
39
L. Gonzalez
↑ 90+4'
M
27
T. Veron
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
F
31
R. Martinez
↑ 83'
19
J. De Los Santos
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
Last matches: Club Nacional
17.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
H2H: Liverpool Montevideo vs Club Nacional
19.04.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
20.09.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
L
26.03.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
2
D
08.09.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L
15.06.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
L
25.02.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
06.02.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
0
D
23.06.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
3
0
W
06.02.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
L
30.01.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
1
L
21.02.22
H2H
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
26.11.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
2
D
15.08.21
H2H
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
L
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
16.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
1
W
11.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
20.05.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Teresa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Liverpool Montevideo
19.04.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
26.03.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
2
D
25.02.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
06.02.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
0
D
23.06.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
3
0
W
30.01.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
1
L
26.11.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
2
D
Last matches: Club Nacional
11.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
0
0
D
12.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
H2H away: Club Nacional
19.04.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
W
26.03.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
2
D
25.02.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
06.02.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
0
D
23.06.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
3
0
L
30.01.23
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
1
W
26.11.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
2
D

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 4 5 36:22 14 40
L D W W D
2 21 12 4 5 32:19 13 40
W D W L W
3 20 10 8 2 26:16 10 38
D D D D W
4 21 9 6 6 30:22 8 33
L D W L L
5 20 9 5 6 32:25 7 32
W L W W L
6 21 10 2 9 32:28 4 32
L D W L W
7 20 9 5 6 27:25 2 32
D D W L W
8 21 9 5 7 26:25 1 32
W W D W D
9 20 6 7 7 23:22 1 25
L D W D L
10 20 7 4 9 22:21 1 25
D D W W L
11 20 5 9 6 16:17 -1 24
D D D L L
12 21 6 4 11 25:33 -8 22
W L D L L
13 21 6 4 11 19:29 -10 22
L D D L L
14 20 4 9 7 20:27 -7 21
D D D L L
15 21 4 4 13 17:32 -15 16
W L L W L
16 20 4 4 12 12:32 -20 16
W L L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)