Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
72.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- |
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Liverpool Montevideo
13 matches
Club Nacional
13 matches
| Liverpool Montevideo | Statistic | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 16 | Goals For | 20 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 37% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Club Nacional's more proactive style and Liverpool Montevideo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Liverpool Montevideo expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Club Nacional in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Nacional having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Club Nacional arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Club Nacional. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Liverpool Montevideo sit 6 with 16 points after 11 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Martinez (5 goals), D. Romero (2 goals), F. Barcelo (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 16 points from 11 games and a place of 8, Club Nacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 16:15 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Gomez (5 goals), T. Veron (3 goals), N. Lopez (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 3 times, Club Nacional won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Lineups
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Teresa
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Progreso
Club Nacional
Boston River
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Plaza Colonia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 38 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 7 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Club Nacional
Away
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Home
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 25 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 22 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|