Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Liverpool Montevideo
21 matches
Cerro
19 matches
| Liverpool Montevideo | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 23 | Goals For | 10 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.53 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Cerro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cerro. Liverpool Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 25 points compared to Cerro in 16 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Liverpool Montevideo expected to line up in 5-2-3 and Cerro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cerro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
So far, Liverpool Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 25 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Martinez (7 goals), D. Romero (3 goals), F. Barcelo (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 13 points from 19 games and a place of 16, Cerro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 10:31, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through T. Correa (5 goals), A. Pandiani (4 goals), Alejo Macelli (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 6 times, Cerro won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Lineups
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Teresa
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
CA River Plate
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Miramar
Cerro
La Luz
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Home
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Cerro
Away
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
W
|