URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Belvedere

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.4%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Montevideo Win 51.4%
Draw 17.8%
Boston River Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool Montevideo1.3
Boston River0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WWDLW
36 GF / 26 GA
Boston River Boston River
WLDWL
25 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
12
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
11
0.88
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 28 matches
Boston River Boston River 26 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Statistic Boston River
10 Wins 8
10 Draws 6
8 Losses 12
36 Goals For 25
26 Goals Against 34
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
12 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 12
0.88 Shots On Goal 0
2.88 Total Shots 0
1 Corners 0
14% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Boston River. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Liverpool Montevideo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Liverpool Montevideo expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Boston River in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boston River having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo are currently 6 in the standings with 38 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 34:23 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Boston River Analysis

So far, Boston River have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 30 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 25:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 10 times, Boston River won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:14 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Liverpool Montevideo 3-4-1-2 / Boston River 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Liverpool Montevideo wins 10, draws 4, Boston River wins 1

Standings

Primera: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 10:1 9 10
D W W W
2 3 3 0 0 9:2 7 9
W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
W D W D
4 4 2 2 0 6:4 2 8
D W D W
5 4 2 1 1 4:2 2 7
W W L D
6 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
W L D W
7 4 2 1 1 4:6 -2 7
D L W W
8 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
W W L L
9 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
L D W D
10 4 0 4 0 4:4 0 4
D D D D
11 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L D W
12 4 1 0 3 1:4 -3 3
W L L L
13 4 1 0 3 2:6 -4 3
L L L W
14 4 0 2 2 0:2 -2 2
L D D L
15 4 0 1 3 2:9 -7 1
L D L L
16 4 0 0 4 3:7 -4 0
L L L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)