URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
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Estadio Belvedere

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds 4.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.2%
4.06
BTTS Yes
63.2%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.47
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.04
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Montevideo Win 30.4%
Draw 9.4%
Albion FC Win 60.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool Montevideo1.08
Albion FC1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WWDLW
26 GF / 25 GA
Albion FC Albion FC
WLDWL
32 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
11
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
12
1.75
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 24 matches
Albion FC Albion FC 22 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Statistic Albion FC
7 Wins 9
9 Draws 7
8 Losses 6
26 Goals For 32
25 Goals Against 24
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 5
1.75 Shots On Goal 0
5.75 Total Shots 0
2 Corners 0
28% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Albion FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Albion FC having the stronger overall control.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo sit 9 with 29 points after 22 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 25:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Albion FC Analysis

Albion FC sit 7 with 34 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 32:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 2 times, Albion FC won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Liverpool Montevideo 5-2-3 / Albion FC -
H2H summary: Liverpool Montevideo wins 2, draws 2, Albion FC wins 1
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
02.08.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
Last matches: Albion FC
01.08.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
2
2
D
17.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
H2H: Liverpool Montevideo vs Albion FC
06.02.26
H2H
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
W
13.01.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
0
2
L
08.08.22
H2H
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
19.07.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
0
0
D
13.02.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
4
0
W
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
16.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
1
W
11.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
H2H at home: Liverpool Montevideo
13.01.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
0
2
L
19.07.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
0
0
D
13.02.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
4
0
W
Last matches: Albion FC
10.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
19.10.25
Seg
Albion FC
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
04.10.25
Seg
Albion FC
La Luz
0
1
L
21.09.25
Seg
Albion FC
Colón
1
2
L
06.09.25
Seg
Albion FC
Oriental
0
0
D
19.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Fenix
3
0
W
10.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Atenas
1
0
W
03.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Central Espanol
1
1
D
19.07.25
Seg
Albion FC
Rentistas
2
2
D
05.07.25
Seg
Albion FC
Cerrito
0
1
L
22.06.25
Seg
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
H2H away: Albion FC
13.01.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
0
2
W
19.07.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
0
0
D
13.02.22
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.06
Draw 2.86
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.63
Draw 2.04
Home 2.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.58
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.14
Over 2.5 2.47
Over 3.5 4.61
Under 0.5 6.65
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 1.75 2.39
Under 2.0 2.02
Under 2.25 1.71
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 3.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.10
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.00
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.25
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.78
Draw 2.80
Home 2.09
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.92
Draw 1.81
Home 2.87
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.15
Draw 2.20
Home 2.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.55
Over 2.0 1.73
Over 2.25 2.05
Over 2.5 2.34
Over 2.75 2.73
Over 3.0 3.50
Over 3.25 3.90
Over 3.5 4.25
Over 3.75 5.40
Over 4.0 7.90
Over 4.25 8.20
Over 4.5 8.60
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.15
Under 0.75 5.55
Under 1.0 5.00
Under 1.25 3.22
Under 1.5 2.52
Under 1.75 2.24
Under 2.0 1.90
Under 2.25 1.69
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 2.75 1.38
Under 3.0 1.22
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.15
Under 3.75 1.09
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.25 1.02
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 3.15
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.12
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.38
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.81
Over 2.5 2.06
Over 2.75 2.38
Over 3.0 3.00
Over 3.25 3.35
Over 3.5 3.70
Over 3.75 4.50
Over 4.0 6.10
Over 4.25 6.40
Over 4.5 6.75
Under 1.5 2.95
Under 2.0 2.23
Under 2.25 1.85
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 2.75 1.49
Under 3.0 1.32
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.15
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06

Standings

Primera: Promedios
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 59 37 10 12 101:53 48 121
W W D W L
2 59 35 12 12 110:62 48 114
W L D W L
3 22 12 5 5 36:22 14 41
D L D W W
4 59 25 19 15 76:60 16 94
D W L D W
5 59 25 19 15 66:55 11 94
W L D D D
6 22 9 7 6 32:24 8 34
D L D W L
7 22 9 6 7 27:26 1 33
D L D D W
8 59 24 16 19 61:58 3 88
W L D D D
9 59 23 15 21 87:78 9 84
L W W L W
10 59 24 12 23 70:72 -2 84
D W L D L
11 59 20 17 22 69:69 0 77
L L D D L
12 59 20 17 22 64:65 -1 77
L W D D W
13 59 16 18 25 53:72 -19 66
W W W D W
14 59 14 23 22 63:71 -8 65
D L D D D
15 59 17 15 27 47:76 -29 65
L W W L L
16 59 14 13 32 56:94 -38 55
L W L L W
Relegation - Segunda Division