19.09.2026 20:00
Juan Antonio Arias Stadium

Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Liniers Win 54.4%
Draw 7.9%
Argentino de Merlo Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liniers0.91
Argentino de Merlo0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liniers Liniers
WWDLW
29 GF / 35 GA
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WLDWL
30 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
15
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liniers Liniers 35 matches
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 36 matches
Liniers Statistic Argentino de Merlo
9 Wins 10
13 Draws 11
13 Losses 15
29 Goals For 30
35 Goals Against 37
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 11
15 Failed To Score 19
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentino de Merlo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino de Merlo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Liniers Analysis

With 37 points from 34 games and a place of 17, Liniers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats with a 27:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

Argentino de Merlo sit 12 with 41 points after 34 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, while the 30:34 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liniers won 4 times, Argentino de Merlo won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Liniers's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
H2H summary: Liniers wins 4, draws 3, Argentino de Merlo wins 8

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)