NORWAY ELITESERIEN
22.07.2026 17:00
Åråsen
Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway
Lillestrom
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Henrik Heggheim
Viking
31'
K. Askildsen · Assist: E. Austbo
Viking
🔄
46'
H. Heggheim ↔ S. Bjorshol
Viking
55'
P. Christiansen
Viking
🟨
58'
Zlatko Tripić
Viking
🟨
62'
Anders Baertelsen
Viking
🔄
62'
E. Austbo ↔ N. Fuglestad
Viking
63'
L. Ranger · Assist: F. Elkaer
Lillestrom
🔄
64'
Y. Paintsil ↔ F. Gulbrandsen
Lillestrom
🔄
64'
M. Karlsbakk ↔ K. Krygard
Lillestrom
🔄
64'
Z. Tripic ↔ R. Alte
Viking
🟨
70'
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Lillestrom
🟨
74'
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
Lillestrom
🔄
76'
T. Olsen ↔ G. Nordh
Lillestrom
🟨
77'
Ruben Alte
Viking
🔄
78'
K. Haugen ↔ V. Auklend
Viking
🔄
83'
Felix Va ↔ K. Arierhi
Lillestrom
🔄
84'
Y. Ibrahimaj ↔ H. Woxen
Lillestrom
🔄
89'
P. Christiansen ↔ V. Vevatne
Viking

Lillestrom vs Viking Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 42.3%
Draw 12.8%
Viking Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.54
Viking2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
51 GF / 36 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
53 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
2.52
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
14
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
14
4.54
Shots on Goal
5.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 26 matches
Viking Viking 21 matches
Lillestrom Statistic Viking
12 Wins 16
4 Draws 3
10 Losses 2
51 Goals For 53
36 Goals Against 19
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 2.52
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
14 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 1
4.54 Shots On Goal 5.58
12.69 Total Shots 15.33
5.23 Corners 6.08
52.3% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Viking. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 27 points while Lillestrom sit 4 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control.

Lillestrom Analysis

With 22 points from 12 games and a place of 4, Lillestrom still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 19:11 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (3 goals), Salieu Drammeh (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Salieu Drammeh (1 assists), Thomas Lehne Olsen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Viking Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 27 points from 11 games, Viking bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 29:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Peter Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Zlatko Tripić (3 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (2 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 2 times, Viking won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:30 from Lillestrom's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.54 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-2-3-1 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Lillestrom 3, Viking 4
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 2, draws 2, Viking wins 9

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen