NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Åråsen
Referee: U. Aslam
Lillestrom
Match Timeline
Sarpsborg 08 FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
M. Karlsbakk
Lillestrom
11'
G. Nyheim · Assist: Felix Va
Lillestrom
🟨
29'
Ulrik Jenssen
Lillestrom
🔄
60'
J. Berget ↔ N. Williams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
60'
V. E. Halvorsen ↔ A. Nibe
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
61'
Menno Koch
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
69'
K. Arierhi ↔ C. Jebara
Lillestrom
🟨
75'
Anders Hiim
Sarpsborg 08 FF
76'
C. Jebara · Assist: Felix Va
Lillestrom
🔄
80'
S. Sorli ↔ M. Svenningsen Gronn
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
80'
M. Koch ↔ M. Odegaard
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
80'
S. Christiansen ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
81'
M. Karlsbakk ↔ H. Woxen
Lillestrom
🔄
81'
S. Ottesen ↔ Y. Paintsil
Lillestrom
🔄
90+1'
S. Drammeh ↔ L. Alperud
Lillestrom
90'
S. Drammeh
Lillestrom

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 61.9%
Draw 11.9%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
34 GF / 23 GA
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WLDWL
26 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 16 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 16 matches
Lillestrom Statistic Sarpsborg 08 FF
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
34 Goals For 26
23 Goals Against 19
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
9 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.5 Total Shots 11.5
5 Corners 5.5
51.5% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lillestrom's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lillestrom arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to Sarpsborg 08 FF in 13 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarpsborg 08 FF. Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarpsborg 08 FF having the stronger overall control.

Lillestrom Analysis

Lillestrom come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Karlsbakk (3 goals), T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), with creative support from T. Olsen (1 assists), Felix Va (1 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 5 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Sher (1 goals), C. Niyukuri (1 goals), D. Karlsbakk (1 goals), with creative support from S. Sorli (1 assists), B. Utvik (1 assists), M. Opoku (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 6 times, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Lillestrom's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-1-4-1 / Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2
Missing players: Lillestrom 4, Sarpsborg 08 FF 6
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 6, draws 3, Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 4
Stats
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
403 Total passes 416
349 Passes accurate 346
2.37 expected_goals 0.81
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lillestrom
Formation
Sarpsborg 08 FF
P. Dahlberg
P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger
L. Ranger
R. Gabrielsen
R. Gabrielsen
U. Jenssen
U. Jenssen
S. Ottesen
S. Ottesen
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj
S. Drammeh
S. Drammeh
M. Karlsbakk
M. Karlsbakk
G. Nyheim
G. Nyheim
Felix Va
🎯
Felix Va
K. Arierhi
K. Arierhi
L. Oy
L. Oy
E. Wichne
E. Wichne
B. Utvik
B. Utvik
M. Koch
M. Koch
A. Hiim
A. Hiim
A. Sher
A. Sher
S. Christiansen
S. Christiansen
S. Sorli
S. Sorli
V. E. Halvorsen
V. E. Halvorsen
D. Karlsbakk
D. Karlsbakk
J. Berget
J. Berget
Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
P. Dahlberg
G
2
L. Ranger
D
28
R. Gabrielsen
D
23
U. Jenssen
🟨 29'
D
3
S. Ottesen
↓ 81'
D
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
15
S. Drammeh
⚽ 90' ↓ 90+1'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
⚽ 4' ↓ 81'
M
14
G. Nyheim
⚽ 11'
M
20
Felix Va
🎯 11' 🎯 76'
M
9
K. Arierhi
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Hagerup
G
4
E. B. Garnas
D
5
S. Foss
D
22
J. Kitolano
D
11
F. Elkaer
D
19
C. Jebara
⚽ 76' ↑ 69'
F
6
H. Woxen
↑ 81'
M
26
Y. Paintsil
↑ 81'
M
7
L. Alperud
↑ 90+1'
M
Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
87
L. Oy
G
32
E. Wichne
D
4
B. Utvik
D
2
M. Koch
↓ 80' 🟨 61'
D
21
A. Hiim
🟨 75'
D
6
A. Sher
M
8
S. Christiansen
↓ 80'
M
10
S. Sorli
↓ 80'
M
22
V. E. Halvorsen
↓ 60'
M
11
D. Karlsbakk
M
14
J. Berget
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
17
N. Williams
↑ 60'
M
81
M. Svenningsen Gronn
↑ 80'
M
5
M. Odegaard
↑ 80'
D
12
C. Niyukuri
D
33
A. Nibe
↑ 60'
M
26
Chriso
M
18
B. Gueye
↑ 80'
M
50
M. M. Eidal
D
54
J. H. Skjoren
G
Last matches: Lillestrom
31.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
26.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
18.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
12.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
H2H: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
03.07.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
03.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
28.07.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
05.05.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
0
L
17.09.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
3
1
L
16.05.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
31.07.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
2
W
16.05.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
26.03.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
2
2
D
02.10.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
2
1
L
14.08.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
28.07.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
24.04.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
0
D
01.12.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
Last matches: Lillestrom
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
17.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Haugesund
7
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
7
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Lillestrom
03.07.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
03.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
28.07.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
16.05.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
16.05.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
14.08.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
28.07.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
01.12.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
18.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sirius
3
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Gais
1
4
L
H2H away: Sarpsborg 08 FF
03.07.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
L
03.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
L
28.07.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
16.05.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
W
16.05.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
L
14.08.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
28.07.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
L
01.12.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 2 2 41:11 30 38
W W W W W
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 15 8 1 6 22:18 4 25
L L W W L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 15 6 3 6 23:26 -3 21
W L L L D
8 15 6 2 7 22:27 -5 20
L W W L W
9 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
10 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Lillestrom 4 missing
-
F. Elkaer
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
K. Krygard
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Waehler
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
E. Kitolano
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
Sarpsborg 08 FF 6 missing
-
F. Carstensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Reinhardsen
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
Camil Mmaee
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Opoku
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Ndiaye
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
S. Rosted
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT