Lillestrom vs Molde Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.7%
|
2.54 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.36 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.40 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Lillestrom
Molde
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lillestrom
37 matches
Molde
31 matches
| Lillestrom | Statistic | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 15 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 16 | Losses | 10 |
| 61 | Goals For | 63 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.03 |
| 1.51 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 5.67 |
| 11.92 | Total Shots | 15.1 |
| 5.58 | Corners | 5.57 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 59.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Molde's more proactive style and Lillestrom's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Molde in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. Molde look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Molde.
Lillestrom are currently 6 in the standings with 32 points from 21 matches. The record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 28:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vá (4 goals), G. Nyheim (4 goals), Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), with creative support from Vá (5 assists), Y. Ibrahimaj (2 assists), F. Elkær (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Molde come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 36 points after 21 matches. The return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 44:32, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Eirik Hestad (7 goals), F. Gulbrandsen (6 goals), Trent Toure Kone Doherty (6 goals), with creative support from E. Breivik (8 assists), S. Granaas (4 assists), J. Abdulai (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 3 times, Molde won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from Lillestrom's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Molde
Away
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Lillestrom
Home
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 24 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:43 | -21 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
L
|