Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille1.63
Toulouse0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lille
WWDLW
11 GF / 7 GA
Toulouse
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
6 matches
Toulouse
6 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 11 | Goals For | 5 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 9 times, Toulouse won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Lille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lille 4-2-3-1 / Toulouse 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lille wins 9, draws 3, Toulouse wins 3
Last matches: Lille
23.08.26
Lig
Lille
Angers
2
0
W
15.08.26
Fri
Lille
Everton
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Lille
Hamburger SV
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Lille
OH Leuven
6
3
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lille
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lille
Auxerre
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lille
Monaco
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Lille
Le Havre
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Lille
Paris FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Lille
Nice
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Lille
Toulouse
4
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Lille
Lens
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Lille
Marseille
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Lille
Rennes
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lille
Lorient
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
0
W
Last matches: Toulouse
22.08.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
H2H: Lille vs Toulouse
12.04.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
W
14.09.25
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
1
2
W
05.10.24
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
W
25.02.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
3
1
L
12.11.23
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
1
D
18.03.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
0
2
W
17.09.22
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
3
0
W
19.10.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
2
1
L
21.04.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
0
0
D
22.12.18
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
2
L
06.05.18
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
2
3
W
02.12.17
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
0
W
05.03.17
H2H
Toulouse
Lille
1
1
D
Last matches: Lille
18.07.26
Fri
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lille
Auxerre
0
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lille
Le Havre
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Lille
Nice
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Lille
Lens
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lille
Lorient
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
Lille
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Lille
Strasbourg
1
4
L
11.01.26
Cou
Lille
Lyon
1
2
L
03.01.26
Lig
Lille
Rennes
0
2
L
05.12.25
Lig
Lille
Marseille
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Lille
Dinamo Zagreb
4
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Lille
Paris FC
4
2
W
02.11.25
Lig
Lille
Angers
1
0
W
26.10.25
Lig
Lille
Metz
6
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
Lille
PAOK
3
4
L
H2H at home: Lille
14.09.25
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
W
12.11.23
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
1
D
17.09.22
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
3
0
W
22.12.18
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
2
L
02.12.17
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
0
W
Last matches: Toulouse
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.01.26
Cou
Toulouse
Angers
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cou
Toulouse
Lyon Duchere
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
3
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
0
1
L
05.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
21.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
1
L
14.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
1
0
W
H2H away: Toulouse
14.09.25
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
L
12.11.23
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
1
D
17.09.22
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
2
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
3
0
L
22.12.18
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
2
W
02.12.17
H2H
Lille
Toulouse
1
0
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
Home
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
Away
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation