Lille
Match Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
63.3%
|
2.10 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.76 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.24 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
15.00 |
Probability Distribution
Lille Win 39.8%
Draw 23.5%
Paris Saint Germain Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille2.2
Paris Saint Germain1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lille
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
8
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
6 matches
Paris Saint Germain
4 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 15 | Goals For | 5 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 15.5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 65% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 2 times, Paris Saint Germain won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:38 from Lille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Lille 4-2-3-1 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
Missing players: Lille 3, Paris Saint Germain 4
H2H summary: Lille wins 2, draws 4, Paris Saint Germain wins 9
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lille
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
Away
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
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