Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nantes Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille1.64
Nantes1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lille
WWDLW
25 GF / 15 GA
Nantes
WLDWL
17 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
8
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
15 matches
Nantes
15 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 7 |
| 25 | Goals For | 17 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 11 times, Nantes won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:9 from Lille's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lille 4-2-3-1 / Nantes 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Lille wins 11, draws 3, Nantes wins 1
Last matches: Lille
23.08.26
Lig
Lille
Angers
2
0
W
15.08.26
Fri
Lille
Everton
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Lille
Hamburger SV
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Lille
OH Leuven
6
3
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lille
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lille
Auxerre
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lille
Monaco
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Lille
Le Havre
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Lille
Paris FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Lille
Nice
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Lille
Toulouse
4
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Lille
Lens
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Lille
Marseille
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Lille
Rennes
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lille
Lorient
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
0
W
Last matches: Nantes
22.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Rodez
2
5
L
14.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Laval
1
2
L
08.08.26
Lig
Nantes
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Al Wakrah
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Le Mans
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nantes
La Roche VF
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Lorient
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Fleury 91
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Lens
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Strasbourg
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Angers
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
1
3
L
H2H: Lille vs Nantes
01.03.26
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
19.10.25
H2H
Nantes
Lille
0
2
W
15.03.25
H2H
Nantes
Lille
1
0
L
04.01.25
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
Nantes
Lille
1
2
W
20.08.23
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
0
W
27.05.23
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
1
W
12.08.22
H2H
Nantes
Lille
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
Nantes
Lille
0
1
W
27.11.21
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
1
D
07.02.21
H2H
Nantes
Lille
0
2
W
25.09.20
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
0
W
01.03.20
H2H
Nantes
Lille
0
1
W
11.08.19
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
1
W
31.03.19
H2H
Nantes
Lille
2
3
W
Last matches: Lille
18.07.26
Fri
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lille
Auxerre
0
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lille
Le Havre
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Lille
Nice
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Lille
Lens
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lille
Lorient
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
Lille
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Lille
Strasbourg
1
4
L
11.01.26
Cou
Lille
Lyon
1
2
L
03.01.26
Lig
Lille
Rennes
0
2
L
05.12.25
Lig
Lille
Marseille
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Lille
Dinamo Zagreb
4
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Lille
Paris FC
4
2
W
02.11.25
Lig
Lille
Angers
1
0
W
26.10.25
Lig
Lille
Metz
6
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
Lille
PAOK
3
4
L
H2H at home: Lille
01.03.26
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
04.01.25
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
0
W
27.05.23
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
1
W
27.11.21
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
1
D
25.09.20
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
0
W
11.08.19
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
1
W
Last matches: Nantes
14.08.26
Lig
Nantes
Laval
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Le Mans
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Lorient
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Fleury 91
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Lens
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
1
L
13.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
1
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Lorient
1
2
L
04.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Marseille
2
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Nantes
Concarneau
5
3
W
12.12.25
Lig
Nantes
Angers
1
4
L
30.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Lyon
0
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
1
1
D
24.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Paris FC
2
1
W
04.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
0
D
27.09.25
Lig
Nantes
Toulouse
2
2
D
H2H away: Nantes
01.03.26
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
0
L
04.01.25
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
0
L
27.05.23
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
1
L
27.11.21
H2H
Lille
Nantes
1
1
D
25.09.20
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
0
L
11.08.19
H2H
Lille
Nantes
2
1
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
Home
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
Away
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation