FRANCE › LIGUE 1
05.12.2025 20:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Lille
Match Timeline
Marseille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
E. Mbappe · Assist: N. Bentaleb
Lille
🟨
26'
Arthur Vermeeren
Marseille
🔄
26'
H. Igamane ↔ O. Giroud
Lille
🔄
66'
B. Pavard ↔ D. Bakola
Marseille
🔄
66'
P. Aubameyang ↔ R. Vaz
Marseille
🔄
70'
E. Mbappe ↔ N. Mukau
Lille
🔄
70'
O. Sahraoui ↔ F. Correia
Lille
🔄
80'
G. Kondogbia ↔ B. Nadir
Marseille
🔄
80'
I. Paixao ↔ T. Mmadi
Marseille
🔄
84'
H. Haraldsson ↔ A. Gomes
Lille
🟨
90+1'
Berke Özer
Lille

Lille vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille1.62
Marseille1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lille Lille
WWDLW
38 GF / 23 GA
Marseille Marseille
WLDWL
43 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.26
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
8
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
14
5.53
Shots on Goal
5.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lille Lille 19 matches
Marseille Marseille 19 matches
Lille Statistic Marseille
11 Wins 11
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
38 Goals For 43
23 Goals Against 20
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.26
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
8 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 3
5.53 Shots On Goal 5.68
15.63 Total Shots 14.32
6.79 Corners 5.32
57.6% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 6 times, Marseille won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Lille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lille 4-2-3-1 / Marseille 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lille wins 6, draws 6, Marseille wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille Home
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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