Login Register
FRANCE › LIGUE 1
13.09.2026 13:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Referee: Romain Lissorgue, France
Lille
Match Timeline
Estac Troyes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
3'
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Lille
⚽
18'
T. Santos · Assist: D. Bakwa
Lille
🔄
46'
L. Maronnier ↔ N. Donkor
Estac Troyes
🔄
61'
H. Haraldsson ↔ M. Kjaergaard
Lille
🔄
71'
D. Bakwa ↔ E. Mbappe
Lille
🔄
71'
A. Ueda ↔ O. Giroud
Lille
🔄
71'
B. Onal ↔ G. Perrin
Lille
🔄
75'
M. Diop ↔ I. Gomis
Estac Troyes
🔄
75'
K. Diawara ↔ T. Nkada
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
H. Picard ↔ R. Ripart
Estac Troyes
🔄
80'
A. Mille ↔ Y. Kone
Estac Troyes
🟨
82'
Olivier Giroud
Lille
🔄
86'
N. Mukau ↔ B. Andre
Lille
⚽
90'
E. Mbappe · Assist: M. Kjaergaard
Lille

Lille vs Estac Troyes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lille Win 40.6%
Draw 4.9%
Estac Troyes Win 54.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille1.86
Estac Troyes1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lille Lille
L W D W D
8 GF / 6 GA
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
L W D D D
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.22
Average Goals Scored
2
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lille Lille 9 matches
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 9 matches
Lille Statistic Estac Troyes
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
20 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 12
2.22 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 3.33
9 Total Shots 15.67
2.5 Corners 7.33
40.5% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 4 times, Estac Troyes won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Lille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Lille 4-2-3-1 / Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lille 1, Estac Troyes 4
H2H summary: Lille wins 4, draws 5, Estac Troyes wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 2 1 13:5 8 14
W L W D W
2 7 4 2 1 14:9 5 14
W W W W L
3 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W L W D W
4
Lille Home
7 4 2 1 10:5 5 14
D W L W W
5 7 4 2 1 10:6 4 14
L D W D W
6 7 4 1 2 15:14 1 13
L W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 7:6 1 11
W W L D W
8 7 3 1 3 14:11 3 10
W W L D L
9 7 3 0 4 14:10 4 9
W W L L L
10 7 2 3 2 13:10 3 9
D W L L W
11 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
W D W D L
12 7 3 0 4 11:17 -6 9
W L W W L
13 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
L W W L D
14 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
L L L D W
15 7 2 1 4 9:15 -6 7
L L W D L
16 7 1 3 3 10:15 -5 6
L L W D D
17 7 1 1 5 5:16 -11 4
L L L L L
18 7 0 2 5 5:11 -6 2
L L L D L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation