Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estac Troyes Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille1.76
Estac Troyes1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lille
WWDLW
17 GF / 10 GA
Estac Troyes
WLDWL
16 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.43
Average Goals Scored
2
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
6
Shots on Goal
2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
7 matches
Estac Troyes
8 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 17 | Goals For | 16 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 1.5 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 35% | Ball Possession | 37.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 4 times, Estac Troyes won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Lille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lille 4-2-3-1 / Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lille wins 4, draws 5, Estac Troyes wins 3
Last matches: Lille
28.08.26
Lig
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
23.08.26
Lig
Lille
Angers
2
0
W
15.08.26
Fri
Lille
Everton
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Lille
Hamburger SV
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Lille
OH Leuven
6
3
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lille
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lille
Auxerre
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lille
Monaco
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Lille
Le Havre
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Lille
Paris FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Lille
Nice
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Lille
Toulouse
4
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Lille
Lens
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Lille
Marseille
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Lille
Rennes
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lille
Lorient
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
Last matches: Estac Troyes
29.08.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Lorient
2
1
W
22.08.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Paris FC
0
0
D
14.08.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Panetolikos
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Auxerre
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Chasselay MDA
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Nancy
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Laval
4
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Rodez
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
5
1
W
16.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Annecy
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
02.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Amiens
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
PAU
4
3
W
16.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Bastia
0
0
D
H2H: Lille vs Estac Troyes
03.06.23
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lille
1
1
D
15.01.23
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
5
1
W
08.01.23
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
01.05.22
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lille
3
0
L
04.12.21
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
1
W
20.01.18
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lille
1
0
L
14.10.17
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
23.01.16
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
1
3
L
21.11.15
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lille
1
1
D
28.10.15
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
1
W
02.02.13
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
15.09.12
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lille
1
1
D
Last matches: Lille
28.08.26
Lig
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
3
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lille
Auxerre
0
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lille
Le Havre
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Lille
Nice
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Lille
Lens
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lille
Lorient
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lille
Nantes
1
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
Lille
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Lille
Strasbourg
1
4
L
11.01.26
Cou
Lille
Lyon
1
2
L
03.01.26
Lig
Lille
Rennes
0
2
L
05.12.25
Lig
Lille
Marseille
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Lille
Dinamo Zagreb
4
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Lille
Paris FC
4
2
W
02.11.25
Lig
Lille
Angers
1
0
W
26.10.25
Lig
Lille
Metz
6
1
W
H2H at home: Lille
15.01.23
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
5
1
W
08.01.23
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
04.12.21
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
1
W
14.10.17
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
23.01.16
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
1
3
L
28.10.15
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
1
W
02.02.13
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
Last matches: Estac Troyes
29.08.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Lorient
2
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Auxerre
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Nancy
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Rodez
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
2
2
D
16.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Annecy
2
1
W
02.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Amiens
2
0
W
16.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Bastia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Nancy
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Guingamp
0
1
L
10.01.26
Cou
Estac Troyes
Bastia
2
0
W
20.12.25
Cou
Estac Troyes
Olympique Marcquois
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
2
1
W
30.11.25
Cou
Estac Troyes
UF Touraine
2
0
W
21.11.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Laval
1
0
W
15.11.25
Cou
Estac Troyes
France Aizenay
3
0
W
03.11.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
PAU
1
1
D
H2H away: Estac Troyes
15.01.23
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
5
1
L
08.01.23
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
0
L
04.12.21
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
1
L
14.10.17
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
23.01.16
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
1
3
W
28.10.15
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
2
1
L
02.02.13
H2H
Lille
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lille
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Estac Troyes
Away
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
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