Lille vs Auxerre Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lille
Auxerre
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
47 matches
Auxerre
34 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 68 | Goals For | 33 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.62 | Shots On Goal | 3.56 |
| 13.36 | Total Shots | 10.97 |
| 5.85 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lille's more proactive style and Auxerre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Lille arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 61 points compared to Auxerre in 15 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auxerre. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lille expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Auxerre in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auxerre having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Lille come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 61 points after 33 matches. The return of 18 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 52:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Haraldsson (8 goals), M. Fernandez-Pardo (8 goals), O. Giroud (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fernandez-Pardo (5 assists), F. Correia (5 assists), R. Perraud (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Auxerre sit 15 with 31 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 32:44 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Sinayoko (10 goals), Bryan Okoh (3 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (4 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), S. Mara (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 6 times, Auxerre won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Lille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Lille
Home
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Auxerre
Away
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|