Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lille
Auxerre
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
47 matches
Auxerre
34 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 67 | Goals For | 33 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.62 | Shots On Goal | 3.56 |
| 13.36 | Total Shots | 10.97 |
| 5.85 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lille's more proactive style and Auxerre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Lille arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 61 points compared to Auxerre in 15 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auxerre. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lille expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Auxerre in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auxerre having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Lille come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 61 points after 33 matches. The return of 18 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 52:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Haraldsson (8 goals), M. Fernandez-Pardo (8 goals), O. Giroud (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fernandez-Pardo (5 assists), F. Correia (5 assists), R. Perraud (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Auxerre sit 15 with 31 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 32:44 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Sinayoko (10 goals), Bryan Okoh (3 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (4 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), S. Mara (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 6 times, Auxerre won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Lille's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Lille
3
4
5
3
4
0
Lineups
Lille
Monaco
Lille
Le Havre
Lille
Paris FC
Lille
Nice
Lille
Toulouse
Lille
Lens
Lille
Marseille
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Rennes
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Lorient
Lille
Nantes
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Angers
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
Metz
Lille
Lyon
Lille
SC Freiburg
Lille
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Nice
Auxerre
Angers
Auxerre
Lyon
Auxerre
Monaco
Auxerre
Nantes
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Marseille
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Lorient
Auxerre
Rennes
Auxerre
Metz
Auxerre
Paris FC
Auxerre
Toulouse
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Monaco
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Metz
Lille
Le Havre
Lille
Nice
Lille
Lens
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Lorient
Lille
Nantes
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
SC Freiburg
Lille
Strasbourg
Lille
Lyon
Lille
Rennes
Lille
Marseille
Lille
Dinamo Zagreb
Lille
Paris FC
Lille
Angers
Lille
Metz
Lille
PAOK
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Auxerre
Monaco
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Marseille
Auxerre
Lorient
Auxerre
Metz
Auxerre
Toulouse
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Paris FC
Auxerre
Angers
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Auxerre
Rennes
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Nantes
Auxerre
Nice
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Lille
Auxerre
Rennes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Lille
Home
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Auxerre
Away
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|