Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
45.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
61.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
23 matches
Universidad Catolica
26 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 43 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.57 | Shots On Goal | 4.6 |
| 10.43 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 3.52 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 45.2% | Ball Possession | 58.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad Catolica. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 23 matches, Libertad have collected 30 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 24:26 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Vilington Branda (5 goals), Gabriel Cortez (4 goals), Antony Chére (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Cortez (4 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Enrique Caicedo (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Universidad Catolica come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 39 points after 23 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 38:19 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on José Fajardo (7 goals), Byron Palacios (4 goals), Emiliano Clavijo (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (7 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Libertad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Universidad Catolica
Away
|
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Libertad
Home
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|