Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.18 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
91.8%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
18 matches
Tecnico Universitario
19 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 17 | Goals For | 19 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.06 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 9.17 | Total Shots | 12.29 |
| 3.28 | Corners | 4.47 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 40.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tecnico Universitario's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tecnico Universitario. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Libertad expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Tecnico Universitario in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tecnico Universitario carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 23 points while Libertad sit 15 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tecnico Universitario look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Libertad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 17 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 17:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (4 goals), G. Cortéz (3 goals), Ivan Zambrano (3 goals), with creative support from G. Cortéz (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tecnico Universitario are currently 7 in the standings with 23 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 19:17 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 3 times, Tecnico Universitario won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Libertad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 30 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 28 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 27 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Libertad
Home
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 18 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | -8 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 13 |
D
L
W
L
D
|