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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Libertad
FT
1 - 3
Leones del Norte
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Referee: Yerson Zambrano, Ecuador
Libertad
Match Timeline
Leones del Norte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Jackson Rodríguez
Libertad
⚽
27'
V. Branda · Assist: E. Patta
Libertad
🟨
32'
Jackson Rodríguez
Libertad
🟥
32'
Jackson Rodríguez
Libertad
🟨
33'
Nicolás Monserrat
Leones del Norte
🔄
38'
D. Coronel ↔ M. Lucas
Libertad
VAR
43'
Vilington Branda
Libertad
VAR
45+2'
Juan Anangonó
Leones del Norte
⚽
45'
J. Anangono
Leones del Norte
⚽
45'
J. Anangono · Assist: D. Pazmino
Leones del Norte
🔄
46'
S. Castro ↔ R. Zambrano
Libertad
🔄
46'
H. Batalla ↔ A. Chere
Libertad
🔄
59'
G. J. Cortez Casierra ↔ C. Orejuela
Libertad
🔄
59'
M. Caramuto ↔ C. Solano
Leones del Norte
🔄
65'
J. Bravo ↔ J. Estacio
Libertad
⚽
73'
D. Pazmino · Assist: M. Luque
Leones del Norte
VAR
75'
Mauro Luque
Leones del Norte
🟨
80'
Rody Zambrano
Libertad
🔄
81'
E. Griffa ↔ R. Borja
Leones del Norte
🔄
81'
D. Pazmino ↔ J. Cabeza
Leones del Norte
🟨
90'
Antony Chére
Libertad
🟨
90+3'
Jorge Cabeza
Leones del Norte
🔄
90+3'
M. De La Cruz ↔ M. Caicedo
Leones del Norte
🔄
90+3'
B. Kreiman ↔ Caicedo Nestor
Leones del Norte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Libertad Win 58%
Draw 22.6%
Leones del Norte Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad1.05
Leones del Norte1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Libertad
WWDLW
16 GF / 22 GA
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
WLDWL
15 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
3.44
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Libertad 16 matches
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 16 matches
Libertad Statistic Leones del Norte
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
16 Goals For 15
22 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
9 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
3.44 Shots On Goal 2.88
10.25 Total Shots 9.25
3.56 Corners 3.5
46.3% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 0 times, Leones del Norte won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Libertad's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Libertad - / Leones del Norte 5-3-2
H2H summary: Libertad wins 0, draws 1, Leones del Norte wins 1
Stats
Libertad Libertad
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 7
16 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Goal 9
3 Shots off Goal 12
1 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 15
2 Shots outsidebox 9
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
281 Total passes 415
218 Passes accurate 351
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Libertad
Formation
Leones del Norte
D. Cabezas
D. Cabezas
S. Castro
↓
S. Castro
B. Caicedo
B. Caicedo
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
C. Valencia
C. Valencia
H. Batalla
↓
H. Batalla
E. Patta
🎯
E. Patta
J. Bravo
↓
J. Bravo
V. Branda
⚽
V. Branda
G. J. Cortez Casierra
↓
G. J. Cortez Casierra
D. Coronel
↓
D. Coronel
L. Nazareno
L. Nazareno
R. Arroyo
R. Arroyo
N. Monserrat
N. Monserrat
B. Kreiman
↓
B. Kreiman
M. De La Cruz
↓
M. De La Cruz
T. Coppo
T. Coppo
E. Griffa
↓
E. Griffa
M. Caramuto
↓
M. Caramuto
D. Pazmino
⚽ 🎯 ↓
D. Pazmino
M. Luque
🎯
M. Luque
J. Anangono
⚽ 2
J. Anangono
Libertad 3-5-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
D. Cabezas
G
8
S. Castro
↓ 46'
D
6
B. Caicedo
D
20
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
🟨 14' 🟨 32' 🟥 32'
D
63
C. Valencia
M
11
H. Batalla
↓ 46'
M
17
E. Patta
🎯 27'
M
30
J. Bravo
↓ 65'
M
70
V. Branda
⚽ 27'
M
10
G. J. Cortez Casierra
↓ 59'
F
49
D. Coronel
↓ 38'
F
Substitutes
52
A. Bao
29
R. Zambrano
↑ 46' 🟨 80'
D
25
M. Lucas
↑ 38'
D
33
A. Chere
↑ 46' 🟨 90'
F
7
C. Orejuela
↑ 59'
M
23
J. Guisamano
M
27
S. Bueno
M
66
J. Estacio
↑ 65'
M
9
E. Caicedo
F
Leones del Norte 4-5 (estimated)
Starting XI
45
L. Nazareno
G
4
R. Arroyo
D
23
N. Monserrat
🟨 33'
D
25
B. Kreiman
↓ 90+3'
D
16
M. De La Cruz
↓ 90+3'
D
5
T. Coppo
M
6
E. Griffa
↓ 81'
M
11
M. Caramuto
↓ 59'
M
70
D. Pazmino
⚽ 73' 🎯 45' ↓ 81'
M
7
M. Luque
🎯 73'
M
40
J. Anangono
⚽ 45' ⚽ 45'
Substitutes
22
J. Arroyo
G
99
C. Solano
↑ 59'
M
50
M. Caicedo
↑ 90+3'
D
55
R. Borja
↑ 81'
M
3
F. Vargas
D
27
Caicedo Nestor
↑ 90+3'
F
2
J. Moran
32
A. Aguas
13
J. Cabeza
↑ 81' 🟨 90+3'
M
14
A. Rosales
D
Last matches: Libertad
27.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
0
W
21.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
Last matches: Leones del Norte
26.07.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
10.07.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
01.06.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Macara
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Emelec
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
3
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Aucas
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
0
3
L
28.02.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Libertad
1
1
D
H2H: Libertad vs Leones del Norte
04.07.26
H2H
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
28.02.26
H2H
Leones del Norte
Libertad
1
1
D
Last matches: Libertad
21.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
1
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Libertad
04.07.26
H2H
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
Last matches: Leones del Norte
26.07.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
1
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
23.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
0
3
L
22.02.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Macara
0
0
D
H2H away: Leones del Norte
04.07.26
H2H
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
W

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Independiente del Valle
22 18 1 3 55:22 33 55
W W W W W
2
Universidad Catolica
22 10 6 6 33:19 14 36
D W W W L
3
Macara
22 10 5 7 28:22 6 35
W W L W W
4
Aucas
22 10 5 7 24:25 -1 35
L L W L W
5
Barcelona SC
22 9 7 6 23:17 6 34
L L W D D
6
LDU de Quito
22 9 5 8 21:17 4 32
W D L L D
7
Leones del Norte Away
22 8 7 7 23:21 2 31
W D W D W
8
Deportivo Cuenca
22 9 4 9 21:27 -6 31
W L L D L
9
Guayaquil City FC
22 7 7 8 19:23 -4 28
D D W D W
10
Libertad Home
22 7 6 9 21:26 -5 27
W W L W D
11
Tecnico Universitario
22 8 2 12 20:24 -4 26
W L L L L
12
Orense SC
22 7 5 10 27:32 -5 26
L W L L D
13
Mushuc Runa SC
22 6 7 9 27:33 -6 25
L D W L L
14
Emelec
22 7 7 8 19:26 -7 25
L D L W D
15
Delfin SC
22 6 5 11 13:21 -8 23
L L W W L
16
Manta FC
22 3 5 14 8:27 -19 14
L D L L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs