ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Referee: Y. Zambrano
Libertad
Match Timeline
Leones del Norte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
Libertad
27'
V. Branda · Assist: E. Patta
Libertad
🟨
32'
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
Libertad
🟥
32'
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
Libertad
🟨
33'
N. Monserrat
Leones del Norte
🔄
38'
D. Coronel ↔ M. Lucas
Libertad
VAR
41'
V. Branda
Libertad
45+5'
J. Anangono
Leones del Norte
45+6'
J. Anangono · Assist: D. Pazmino
Leones del Norte
🔄
46'
H. Batalla ↔ A. Chere
Libertad
🔄
46'
S. Castro ↔ R. Zambrano
Libertad
🔄
59'
G. J. Cortez Casierra ↔ C. Orejuela
Libertad
🔄
59'
M. Caramuto ↔ C. Solano
Leones del Norte
🔄
65'
J. Bravo ↔ J. Estacio
Libertad
73'
D. Pazmino · Assist: M. Luque
Leones del Norte
🟨
80'
R. Zambrano
Libertad
🔄
81'
E. Griffa ↔ R. Borja
Leones del Norte
🔄
81'
D. Pazmino ↔ J. Cabeza
Leones del Norte
🟨
90'
A. Chere
Libertad
🔄
90+3'
M. De La Cruz ↔ M. Caicedo
Leones del Norte
🟨
90+3'
J. Cabeza
Leones del Norte
🔄
90+3'
B. Kreiman ↔ Caicedo Nestor
Leones del Norte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds 2.57
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
2.57
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.27
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.2%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Libertad Win 58%
Draw 22.6%
Leones del Norte Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad1.05
Leones del Norte1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Libertad
WWDLW
16 GF / 22 GA
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
WLDWL
15 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
3.44
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Libertad 16 matches
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 16 matches
Libertad Statistic Leones del Norte
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
16 Goals For 15
22 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
9 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
3.44 Shots On Goal 2.88
10.25 Total Shots 9.25
3.56 Corners 3.5
46.3% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 0 times, Leones del Norte won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Libertad's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Libertad 5-3-2 / Leones del Norte 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Libertad wins 0, draws 1, Leones del Norte wins 1
Stats
Libertad Libertad
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 0
4 Fouls 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
1 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Goal 1
0 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Libertad
Formation
Leones del Norte
D. Cabezas
D. Cabezas
E. Patta
🎯
E. Patta
B. Caicedo
B. Caicedo
H. Batalla
H. Batalla
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
G. Cortéz
G. Cortéz
M. Ramírez
M. Ramírez
N. Monserrat
N. Monserrat
Emiliano Griffa
Emiliano Griffa
M. Caramuto
M. Caramuto
D. Pazmiño
🎯
D. Pazmiño
M. Luque
🎯
M. Luque
Libertad 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
D. Cabezas
G
17
E. Patta
🎯 27'
D
6
B. Caicedo
D
11
H. Batalla
↓ 46'
M
70
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
⚽ 27'
M
10
G. Cortéz
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Guisamano
M
33
A. Chére
↑ 46' 🟨 90'
F
29
R. Zambrano
↑ 46' 🟨 80'
D
Leones del Norte 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
45
M. Ramírez
G
23
N. Monserrat
🟨 33'
D
6
Emiliano Griffa
M
11
M. Caramuto
M
70
D. Pazmiño
⚽ 73' 🎯 45+6' ↓ 81'
M
7
M. Luque
🎯 73'
M
Substitutes
13
O. Cabeza
M
99
C. Solano
↑ 59'
M
Last matches: Libertad
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Leones del Norte
01.06.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Macara
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Emelec
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
3
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Aucas
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
0
3
L
28.02.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Libertad
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Macara
0
0
D
H2H: Libertad vs Leones del Norte
04.07.26
H2H
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
28.02.26
H2H
Leones del Norte
Libertad
1
1
D
Last matches: Libertad
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Libertad
04.07.26
H2H
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
Last matches: Leones del Norte
24.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
23.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
0
3
L
22.02.26
Lig
Leones del Norte
Macara
0
0
D
H2H away: Leones del Norte
04.07.26
H2H
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.91
Draw 3.16
Home 2.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.63
Draw 2.10
Home 3.29
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.39
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.27
Over 2.75 2.66
Over 3.5 4.16
Under 1.5 2.97
Under 1.75 2.61
Under 2.0 2.22
Under 2.25 1.85
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.5 1.23
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.10
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.05
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.08
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 1.91
Home 3.16
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.25
Home 2.78
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.04
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.21
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.47
Over 2.0 1.69
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.22
Over 2.75 2.57
Over 3.0 3.65
Over 3.25 3.62
Over 3.5 5.05
Over 3.75 5.12
Over 4.0 15.50
Over 4.25 7.90
Over 4.5 22.00
Over 5.5 24.00
Over 6.5 32.00
Under 0.5 18.00
Under 0.75 7.12
Under 1.0 10.70
Under 1.25 3.72
Under 1.5 3.13
Under 1.75 2.48
Under 2.0 2.17
Under 2.25 1.80
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.0 1.29
Under 3.25 1.22
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.10
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.25 1.02
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.10
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.02
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.33
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.43
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.77
Over 2.25 2.06
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 2.75 2.80
Over 3.0 3.65
Over 3.25 4.00
Over 3.5 4.35
Over 3.75 5.30
Over 4.0 7.50
Under 0.5 6.25
Under 1.0 5.25
Under 1.25 3.30
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 1.75 2.25
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.37
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.25 1.19
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.05

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3 17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 28:17 11 26
L L W D L
7 17 7 2 8 19:17 2 23
W W W L W
8 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
W D L L W
9 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
10 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
11 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
W D L W L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs