Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Libertad Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente del Valle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad1.07
Independiente del Valle1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad
WWDLW
28 GF / 29 GA
Independiente del Valle
WLDWL
77 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
2.26
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
21
3.72
Shots on Goal
6.19
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
25 matches
Independiente del Valle
34 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 27 |
| 7 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 5 |
| 28 | Goals For | 77 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.26 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.72 | Shots On Goal | 6.19 |
| 10.88 | Total Shots | 17.47 |
| 3.56 | Corners | 6.16 |
| 44.3% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 2 times, Independiente del Valle won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Libertad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Libertad - / Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Libertad wins 2, draws 4, Independiente del Valle wins 3
Last matches: Libertad
15.08.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
10.08.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
3
0
W
27.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
0
W
21.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
22.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
3
2
W
19.08.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
15.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
3
2
W
08.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
3
2
W
22.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
20.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
6
1
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
04.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
4
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
1
0
W
23.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
28.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
H2H: Libertad vs Independiente del Valle
23.05.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
W
06.12.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
1
1
D
04.11.25
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
14.06.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
1
1
D
15.02.25
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
21.09.24
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
3
0
L
17.09.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
0
L
15.04.23
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
Last matches: Libertad
10.08.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
3
0
W
21.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
1
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
04.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Libertad
04.11.25
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
15.02.25
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
21.09.24
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
15.04.23
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
22.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
3
2
W
19.08.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
08.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
3
2
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
28.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
22.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
3
2
W
09.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
20.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
0
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
2
0
W
H2H away: Independiente del Valle
04.11.25
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
1
3
W
15.02.25
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
2
0
L
21.09.24
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
15.04.23
H2H
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
Standings
Liga Pro
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Libertad
Home
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs