ECUADOR LIGA PRO
21.04.2026 22:00
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Referee: Robert Cabrera, Ecuador
Libertad
Match Timeline
Guayaquil City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Pablo Mancilla
Guayaquil City FC
🟥
45'
Bryan Caicedo
Libertad
🔄
46'
D. Coronel ↔ J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
Libertad
🔄
46'
V. Branda ↔ J. Guisamano
Libertad
🔄
46'
A. Chere ↔ S. Bueno
Libertad
🟨
57'
Dixon Arroyo
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
60'
Roger Arias
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
67'
G. J. Cortez Casierra ↔ E. Caicedo
Libertad
🔄
71'
P. Mancilla ↔ J. Ordonez
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
71'
D. Arroyo ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
VAR
79'
Kevin Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
82'
P. Gonzalez
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
84'
P. Gonzalez ↔ A. Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
87'
Damián Díaz
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
89'
R. Arias ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
89'
D. Diaz ↔ J. Vivar
Guayaquil City FC

Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Libertad Win 45.1%
Draw 26.9%
Guayaquil City FC Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad1
Guayaquil City FC1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Libertad
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Libertad 9 matches
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 12 matches
Libertad Statistic Guayaquil City FC
2 Wins 4
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 5
8 Goals For 11
10 Goals Against 14
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.11
9.89 Total Shots 8.56
3.78 Corners 3.22
50.9% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Libertad expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Guayaquil City FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guayaquil City FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Libertad Analysis

Libertad are currently 12 in the standings with 10 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

So far, Guayaquil City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 12 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 5:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Mero (4 goals), D. Diaz (2 goals), P. Gonzalez (1 goals), with creative support from J. J. Ayovi Caicedo (4 assists), D. Diaz (1 assists), P. Gonzalez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 1 times, Guayaquil City FC won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Libertad's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.1%)
Predicted formations: Libertad 4-1-4-1 / Guayaquil City FC 3-4-3
H2H summary: Libertad wins 1, draws 2, Guayaquil City FC wins 1

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 22 2 4 67:30 37 68
L D W W W
2 28 14 6 8 39:30 9 48
W W L D W
3 27 14 5 8 31:26 5 47
W W L W W
4 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
5 28 11 9 8 30:23 7 42
W L W D L
6 28 12 6 10 27:22 5 42
D L W W L
7 28 9 10 9 33:34 -1 37
D W D D W
8 27 10 7 10 29:30 -1 37
L W D W W
9 28 9 9 10 27:31 -4 36
L W W D D
10 27 9 8 10 29:30 -1 35
L L W L D
11 28 10 5 13 24:35 -11 35
W L D L L
12 27 9 8 10 23:32 -9 32
W L W D L
13 27 8 6 13 31:41 -10 30
L L W D L
14 28 9 2 17 26:39 -13 29
L W L L L
15 28 7 6 15 18:29 -11 27
W L L L D
16 28 5 5 18 17:41 -24 20
L W L L W
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs