Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Libertad Win 0%
Draw 0%
Emelec Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad0.93
Emelec1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad
WWDLW
18 GF / 25 GA
Emelec
WLDWL
16 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
10
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
2
3
Shots on Goal
2.79
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
19 matches
Emelec
19 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 18 | Goals For | 16 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 2.79 |
| 9.21 | Total Shots | 9.79 |
| 3.11 | Corners | 4.32 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 43.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 1 times, Emelec won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Libertad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Libertad 5-3-2 / Emelec 4-4-2
H2H summary: Libertad wins 1, draws 4, Emelec wins 2
Last matches: Libertad
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
30.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Emelec
17.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Macara
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Manta FC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Libertad
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
0
2
L
20.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
H2H: Libertad vs Emelec
10.05.26
H2H
Emelec
Libertad
1
1
D
03.08.25
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
1
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Emelec
Libertad
1
1
D
30.11.24
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
2
1
W
01.06.24
H2H
Emelec
Libertad
0
0
D
05.08.23
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
0
0
D
27.02.23
H2H
Emelec
Libertad
2
0
L
Last matches: Libertad
15.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
04.07.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Libertad
03.08.25
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
1
2
L
30.11.24
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
2
1
W
05.08.23
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
0
0
D
Last matches: Emelec
17.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
0
W
05.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Manta FC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Emelec
03.08.25
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
1
2
W
30.11.24
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
2
1
L
05.08.23
H2H
Libertad
Emelec
0
0
D
Standings
Liga Pro
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 43:19 | 24 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 31 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:18 | 11 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 19:15 | 4 | 28 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 28 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 24 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Emelec
Away
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19:20 | -1 | 23 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 |
Libertad
Home
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 11:18 | -7 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 7:24 | -17 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs