Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Libertad
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
27 matches
Emelec
27 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 29 | Goals For | 23 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.22 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 10.44 |
| 3.59 | Corners | 4.22 |
| 43.8% | Ball Possession | 43.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Libertad come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Emelec having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Emelec.
From their first 26 matches, Libertad have collected 37 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 29:29 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vilington Branda (6 goals), Antony Chére (5 goals), Gabriel Cortez (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Cortez (4 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Enrique Caicedo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Emelec sit 13 with 29 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (6 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Luis Fragozo (2 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 1 times, Emelec won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Libertad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Libertad
Home
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Emelec
Away
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|