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28.09.2026 22:15
Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Referee: J. Benitez
Libertad Asuncion
Match Timeline
Olimpia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
25'
Alvaro Campuzado
Libertad Asuncion
⚽
33'
F. Alfonso
Olimpia
🟨
45+2'
Alan Rodríguez
Olimpia
🔄
46'
R. Villalba ↔ E. Vera
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa ↔ E. Matus
Olimpia
🔄
46'
F. Alfonso ↔ R. Lezcano
Olimpia
🔄
65'
F. Carrizo ↔ C. Martinez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
65'
I. Ramirez ↔ M. Fernandez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
65'
R. Benitez ↔ E. Delmas
Olimpia
🟨
66'
Mateo Gamarra
Olimpia
🔄
67'
L. Sanabria ↔ H. Fernandez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
67'
G. Aguilar ↔ I. Franco
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
69'
Eduardo Delmas
Olimpia
🟨
75'
Christian Iván Martínez Giménez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
80'
J. F. Alfaro ↔ S. Quintana
Olimpia
🔄
85'
R. Caceres ↔ T. Payne
Olimpia
🟨
90+1'
Richard Ortiz
Olimpia
🟨
90+1'
Fernando Cardozo
Olimpia
🟨
90+1'
Ivan Franco
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
90+6'
Tim Payne
Olimpia

Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Libertad Asuncion Win 55.2%
Draw 8.2%
Olimpia Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad Asuncion1.25
Olimpia1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WWDLW
57 GF / 51 GA
Olimpia Olimpia
WLDWL
57 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
19
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
18
4.49
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 39 matches
Olimpia Olimpia 34 matches
Libertad Asuncion Statistic Olimpia
16 Wins 21
6 Draws 5
17 Losses 8
57 Goals For 57
51 Goals Against 32
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
19 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 5
4.49 Shots On Goal 5.16
12.87 Total Shots 14.91
4.69 Corners 5.06
53.3% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Olimpia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Libertad Asuncion expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Olimpia in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olimpia having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Olimpia.

Libertad Asuncion Analysis

Placed 1 with 23 points from 11 outings, Libertad Asuncion continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 19:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Vera (4 goals), A. Manzur (2 goals), M. Fernández (2 goals), with creative support from A. Benítez (2 assists), I. Ramirez (2 assists), Á. Campuzano (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 22 points after 11 matches. With 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Benitez (2 goals), F. Cardozo (2 goals), R. Ortiz (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rodríguez (2 assists), E. Delmás (2 assists), F. Alfonso (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 8 times, Olimpia won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Libertad Asuncion's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2 / Olimpia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Libertad Asuncion wins 8, draws 4, Olimpia wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 17:13 4 28
W W D L L
2 14 8 3 3 22:10 12 27
D D W W W
3 14 8 3 3 23:16 7 27
D W L D W
4 14 7 3 4 24:14 10 24
D W W L W
5 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
6 14 5 7 2 16:12 4 22
D D W W D
7 14 6 2 6 18:14 4 20
W L L W D
8 14 4 6 4 15:16 -1 18
L L D D W
9 14 4 1 9 14:27 -13 13
L L L W L
10 14 3 4 7 15:24 -9 13
D W D L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 14 0 4 10 5:23 -18 4
D D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)