PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Referee: D. Benitez
Libertad Asuncion
Match Timeline
2 de Mayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Camilo Saiz
2 de Mayo
43'
Lorenzo Melgarejo
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
A. Fernandez ↔ L. Delgadillo
2 de Mayo
🔄
63'
R. Ruiz Diaz ↔ D. Acosta
2 de Mayo
🔄
63'
S. D. Fretes ↔ A. Gomez
2 de Mayo
🔄
64'
F. Carrizo ↔ M. Rojas
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
64'
A. Fretes ↔ P. Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
64'
I. Ramirez ↔ E. Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
65'
Pedro Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
67'
Pedro Sosa
2 de Mayo
🔄
73'
L. Sanabria ↔ A. Molinas
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
77'
G. Aguilar ↔ J. Recalde
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
78'
↔ P. Delvalle
2 de Mayo
🟨
81'
Diego Viera
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
88'
M. Acosta ↔ U. Coronel
2 de Mayo
🟨
90+4'
Jorge Recalde
Libertad Asuncion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Libertad Asuncion Win 83.6%
Draw 0%
2 de Mayo Win 16.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad Asuncion1.52
2 de Mayo1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WLDWL
22 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
10
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
10
4.42
Shots on Goal
2.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 24 matches
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 24 matches
Libertad Asuncion Statistic 2 de Mayo
9 Wins 6
3 Draws 9
12 Losses 9
36 Goals For 22
32 Goals Against 37
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
10 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 7
4.42 Shots On Goal 2.79
12.54 Total Shots 10.92
4.17 Corners 3.46
50.5% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Libertad Asuncion's more proactive style and 2 de Mayo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward 2 de Mayo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 2 de Mayo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Libertad Asuncion Analysis

Libertad Asuncion come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 30 points after 20 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a 33:24 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Lorenzo Melgarejo (13 goals), D. Fernandez (5 goals), F. Carrizo (4 goals), with creative support from Alexis Fretes (4 assists), D. Fernandez (3 assists), F. Carrizo (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

2 de Mayo Analysis

2 de Mayo sit 10 with 21 points after 20 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 18:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Acosta (5 goals), F. M. Caceres Aguero (3 goals), R. Ruiz Diaz (2 goals), with creative support from A. Farina (3 assists), A. Gomez (2 assists), P. Delvalle (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 4 times, 2 de Mayo won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Libertad Asuncion's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2 / 2 de Mayo 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Libertad Asuncion wins 4, draws 3, 2 de Mayo wins 3
Stats
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 0
8 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
496 Total passes 391
436 Passes accurate 309
2.26 expected_goals 0.23
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Libertad Asuncion
Formation
2 de Mayo
R. M. Morinigo Acosta
R. M. Morinigo Acosta
I. Ramirez
I. Ramirez
T. Fernandez
T. Fernandez
D. Viera
D. Viera
N. Gimenez
N. Gimenez
F. Carrizo
F. Carrizo
A. Campuzano
A. Campuzano
L. Sanabria
L. Sanabria
A. Fretes
A. Fretes
L. Melgarejo
L. Melgarejo
G. Aguilar
G. Aguilar
A. Martinez
A. Martinez
R. O. Rodriguez Echeverria
R. O. Rodriguez Echeverria
P. Sosa
P. Sosa
C. Saiz
C. Saiz
C. Castro
C. Castro
O. Romero
O. Romero
A. Fernandez
A. Fernandez
M. Acosta
M. Acosta
A. Farina
A. Farina
S. D. Fretes
R. Ruiz Diaz
R. Ruiz Diaz
Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
R. M. Morinigo Acosta
G
2
I. Ramirez
↓ 64'
D
31
T. Fernandez
5
D. Viera
🟨 81'
D
4
N. Gimenez
D
8
F. Carrizo
↓ 64'
M
6
A. Campuzano
M
21
L. Sanabria
↓ 73'
M
14
A. Fretes
↓ 64'
M
10
L. Melgarejo
⚽ 43'
F
11
G. Aguilar
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
25
A. Gonzalez
G
19
J. Recalde
↑ 77' 🟨 90+4'
M
30
O. R. Vera
38
E. Diaz
M
27
A. Molinas
↑ 73'
M
7
M. Rojas
↑ 64'
M
26
H. Caballero
M
28
M. Fernandez
F
23
P. Villalba
↑ 64' 🟨 65'
M
33
C. Martinez
13
J. Bogarin
34
E. Villalba
↑ 64'
D
2 de Mayo 4-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Martinez
G
4
R. O. Rodriguez Echeverria
D
21
P. Sosa
🟨 67'
D
5
C. Saiz
🟨 14'
D
19
C. Castro
D
24
O. Romero
M
34
A. Fernandez
↓ 46'
M
18
M. Acosta
↓ 88'
M
30
A. Farina
M
26
S. D. Fretes
9
R. Ruiz Diaz
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
28
M. Urquiza
G
16
A. Espinola
D
15
V. Davalos Valdez
D
3
W. Ibarrola
D
2
M. Barreto
D
33
F. Trinanes
17
P. Delvalle
↑ 78'
F
8
O. Colman
M
27
D. Acosta
↑ 63'
F
10
A. Gomez
↑ 63'
M
11
U. Coronel
↑ 88'
D
37
L. Delgadillo
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Libertad Asuncion
27.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1
L
24.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
20.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
10.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
05.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
01.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
28.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
25.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
3
2
W
21.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
0
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
12.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
1
3
L
05.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
0
1
L
30.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
27.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
0
2
L
21.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
13.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
2
0
W
07.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
02.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7
0
W
Last matches: 2 de Mayo
24.07.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
1
0
W
22.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
09.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
2
0
W
01.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
26.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
2
2
D
18.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
5
L
10.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
28.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Olimpia
1
4
L
25.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
1
1
D
22.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
17.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
0
2
L
08.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
1
0
W
28.02.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
0
0
D
20.02.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
14.02.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
0
3
L
H2H: Libertad Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
14.05.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
13.03.26
H2H
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
0
2
W
21.09.25
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
11.07.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
0
0
D
01.06.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
W
28.03.25
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
03.11.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
2
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
L
04.02.24
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
Last matches: Libertad Asuncion
27.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1
L
01.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
28.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
25.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
3
2
W
15.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
12.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
30.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
20.02.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
0
1
L
08.02.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
3
3
D
28.01.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
H2H at home: Libertad Asuncion
14.05.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
21.09.25
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
28.03.25
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
25.08.24
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
2
0
W
04.02.24
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
Last matches: 2 de Mayo
01.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
18.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
5
L
04.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
0
3
L
28.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Olimpia
1
4
L
25.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
1
1
D
22.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
17.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
08.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
0
0
D
14.02.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
0
3
L
12.02.26
CON
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
31.01.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
1
5
L
H2H away: 2 de Mayo
14.05.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
21.09.25
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
1
W
28.03.25
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
25.08.24
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
2
0
L
04.02.24
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
3
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)