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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
19.09.2026 14:00
Brisbane Road
Referee: C. Hicks
Leyton Orient
Match Timeline
Stevenage
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Terence Vancooten
Stevenage
🟨
32'
Lewis Freestone
Stevenage
🟨
59'
Louis Thompson
Stevenage
🔄
64'
L. Thompson ↔ M. Smith
Stevenage
🔄
64'
B. Broggio ↔ P. Patterson
Stevenage
🔄
64'
J. Magennis ↔ M. Mellon
Stevenage
🟨
65'
Daniel Phillips
Stevenage
🔄
65'
I. Hayden ↔ S. Clare
Leyton Orient
🔄
76'
T. Springett ↔ D. Scarlett
Leyton Orient
🔄
76'
J. Kabia ↔ A. Dobra
Leyton Orient
⚽
79'
A. Gilbert · Assist: I. El Mizouni
Leyton Orient
🔄
83'
D. Phillips ↔ J. Houghton
Stevenage

Leyton Orient vs Stevenage Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leyton Orient Win 25.6%
Draw 23.8%
Stevenage Win 50.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leyton Orient1.81
Stevenage1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
WWDLW
31 GF / 19 GA
Stevenage Stevenage
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
11
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
5
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 14 matches
Stevenage Stevenage 10 matches
Leyton Orient Statistic Stevenage
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 2
31 Goals For 13
19 Goals Against 12
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
11 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 6
10 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.83
10.83 Total Shots 9.5
4 Corners 3.83
50% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stevenage. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leyton Orient expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Stevenage in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stevenage having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Leyton Orient Analysis

Leyton Orient sit 10 with 7 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Kabia (1 goals), Y. Akhamrich (1 goals), T. Springett (1 goals), with creative support from J. Kabia (1 assists), D. Mitchell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Stevenage Analysis

Placed 4 with 9 points from 6 outings, Stevenage continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 11:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Kemp (3 goals), J. Magennis (2 goals), O. Sanderson (2 goals), with creative support from Phoenix Patterson (2 assists), D. Kemp (1 assists), J. Roberts (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leyton Orient won 5 times, Stevenage won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Leyton Orient's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1 / Stevenage 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Leyton Orient wins 5, draws 6, Stevenage wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 10:5 5 20
W D D W W
2 10 6 1 3 21:11 10 19
W W W D L
3 10 5 4 1 18:9 9 19
W D W L D
4 11 6 1 4 18:14 4 19
L W W L W
5 10 5 4 1 16:12 4 19
W W D D W
6 9 5 3 1 20:8 12 18
W D D D W
7 10 4 3 3 22:12 10 15
L W D D W
8 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
9 10 4 2 4 15:11 4 14
W D L W L
10 11 3 4 4 16:18 -2 13
D L L W D
11 10 3 4 3 16:20 -4 13
W L D W W
12 9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
L W L W W
13 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
14 9 3 3 3 12:15 -3 12
W L D W L
15 10 3 3 4 7:15 -8 12
L L D D W
16 9 3 2 4 17:17 0 11
L W L L D
17 9 2 3 4 10:11 -1 9
L W W L L
18 9 1 6 2 11:16 -5 9
W L D D D
19 10 2 3 5 9:16 -7 9
D W L L D
20 9 2 2 5 13:16 -3 8
L L L D L
21 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L L D L L
22 9 2 2 5 9:21 -12 8
L L W D L
23 9 1 4 4 8:13 -5 7
L L L L D
24 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two