ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
18.04.2026 14:00
Brisbane Road
Referee: J. Bell
Leyton Orient
Match Timeline
Rotherham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
H. Gray · Assist: D. Gore
Rotherham
🟨
38'
Cohen Lee
Rotherham
🔄
46'
S. Perkins ↔ J. Koroma
Leyton Orient
🔄
46'
A. Abdulai ↔ S. Clare
Leyton Orient
🔄
46'
E. Adegboyega ↔ J. Rafferty
Rotherham
🔄
58'
D. Mitchell ↔ D. Levitt
Leyton Orient
🔄
59'
W. Forrester ↔ K. Casey
Leyton Orient
🔄
59'
C. Wellens ↔ A. Connolly
Leyton Orient
🔄
61'
D. Hall ↔ H. Duncan
Rotherham
🟨
68'
Joe Rafferty
Rotherham
73'
S. Nombe · Assist: J. Clarke
Rotherham
🔄
76'
C. Lee ↔ D. Yearwood
Rotherham
🟨
78'
ArJany Martha
Rotherham
🔄
84'
A. Martha ↔ J. Holmes
Rotherham
🟨
85'
James Morris
Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient vs Rotherham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
67.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Leyton Orient Win 91.3%
Draw 0%
Rotherham Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leyton Orient1.4
Rotherham1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
WWDLW
58 GF / 70 GA
Rotherham Rotherham
WLDWL
37 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
26
BTTS Yes
18
28
Over 2.5
24
3.73
Shots on Goal
3.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 45 matches
Rotherham Rotherham 43 matches
Leyton Orient Statistic Rotherham
15 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
21 Losses 24
58 Goals For 37
70 Goals Against 67
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
26 BTTS Yes 18
34 Over 1.5 28
28 Over 2.5 24
15 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 19
3.73 Shots On Goal 3.02
11.18 Total Shots 9.7
4.6 Corners 4.51
52.6% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rotherham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leyton Orient expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Rotherham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rotherham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Rotherham arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Leyton Orient Analysis

With 51 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Leyton Orient still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 57:66 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Ballard (22 goals), Aaron Connolly (8 goals), Idris El Mizouni (5 goals), with creative support from O. O'Neill (8 assists), D. Ballard (4 assists), Aaron Connolly (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rotherham Analysis

Rotherham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 37 points from 42 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 36:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Nombe (10 goals), J. Rafferty (4 goals), D. Hall (3 goals), with creative support from Joe Powell (4 assists), J. Benson (2 assists), S. McWilliams (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Leyton Orient won 2 times, Rotherham won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Leyton Orient's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1 / Rotherham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leyton Orient wins 2, draws 1, Rotherham wins 4

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two