ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Brisbane Road
Referee: J. Bell
Leyton Orient
Match Timeline
Rotherham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
H. Gray · Assist: D. Gore
Rotherham
🟨
38'
Cohen Lee
Rotherham
🔄
46'
S. Perkins ↔ J. Koroma
Leyton Orient
🔄
46'
A. Abdulai ↔ S. Clare
Leyton Orient
🔄
46'
E. Adegboyega ↔ J. Rafferty
Rotherham
🔄
58'
D. Mitchell ↔ D. Levitt
Leyton Orient
🔄
59'
W. Forrester ↔ K. Casey
Leyton Orient
🔄
59'
C. Wellens ↔ A. Connolly
Leyton Orient
🔄
61'
D. Hall ↔ H. Duncan
Rotherham
🟨
68'
Joe Rafferty
Rotherham
73'
S. Nombe · Assist: J. Clarke
Rotherham
🔄
76'
C. Lee ↔ D. Yearwood
Rotherham
🟨
78'
ArJany Martha
Rotherham
🔄
84'
A. Martha ↔ J. Holmes
Rotherham
🟨
85'
James Morris
Leyton Orient

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
67.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Leyton Orient Win 91.3%
Draw 0%
Rotherham Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leyton Orient1.4
Rotherham1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
WWDLW
58 GF / 70 GA
Rotherham Rotherham
WLDWL
37 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
26
BTTS Yes
18
28
Over 2.5
24
3.73
Shots on Goal
3.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 45 matches
Rotherham Rotherham 43 matches
Leyton Orient Statistic Rotherham
15 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
21 Losses 24
58 Goals For 37
70 Goals Against 67
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
26 BTTS Yes 18
34 Over 1.5 28
28 Over 2.5 24
15 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 19
3.73 Shots On Goal 3.02
11.18 Total Shots 9.7
4.6 Corners 4.51
52.6% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rotherham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leyton Orient expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Rotherham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rotherham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Rotherham arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Leyton Orient Analysis

With 51 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Leyton Orient still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 57:66 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Ballard (22 goals), Aaron Connolly (8 goals), Idris El Mizouni (5 goals), with creative support from O. O'Neill (8 assists), D. Ballard (4 assists), Aaron Connolly (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rotherham Analysis

Rotherham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 37 points from 42 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 36:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Nombe (10 goals), J. Rafferty (4 goals), D. Hall (3 goals), with creative support from Joe Powell (4 assists), J. Benson (2 assists), S. McWilliams (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Leyton Orient won 2 times, Rotherham won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Leyton Orient's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1 / Rotherham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leyton Orient wins 2, draws 1, Rotherham wins 4
Stats
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
Rotherham Rotherham
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 2
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
389 Total passes 259
276 Passes accurate 139
1.17 expected_goals 1.26
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leyton Orient
Formation
Rotherham
W. Dennis
W. Dennis
T. James
T. James
W. Forrester
W. Forrester
D. Happe
D. Happe
J. Morris
J. Morris
A. Abdulai
A. Abdulai
T. Bakinson
T. Bakinson
S. Perkins
S. Perkins
C. Wellens
C. Wellens
D. Mitchell
D. Mitchell
D. Ballard
D. Ballard
T. Cann
T. Cann
D. Hall
D. Hall
E. Adegboyega
E. Adegboyega
Z. Jules
Z. Jules
J. Baptiste
J. Baptiste
D. Gore
🎯
D. Gore
C. Lee
C. Lee
A. Martha
A. Martha
J. Clarke
🎯
J. Clarke
H. Gray
H. Gray
S. Nombe
S. Nombe
Leyton Orient 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
W. Dennis
G
2
T. James
D
6
W. Forrester
↓ 59'
D
5
D. Happe
D
3
J. Morris
🟨 85'
D
22
A. Abdulai
↓ 46'
M
15
T. Bakinson
M
20
S. Perkins
↓ 46'
M
25
C. Wellens
↓ 59'
M
11
D. Mitchell
↓ 58'
M
32
D. Ballard
F
Substitutes
33
K. Cahill
G
24
D. Levitt
↑ 58'
M
14
M. Craig
M
16
K. Casey
↑ 59'
D
17
J. Koroma
↑ 46'
F
28
S. Clare
↑ 46'
D
10
A. Connolly
↑ 59'
F
Rotherham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
T. Cann
G
22
D. Hall
↓ 61'
D
36
E. Adegboyega
↓ 46'
D
3
Z. Jules
D
15
J. Baptiste
D
44
D. Gore
🎯 24'
M
51
C. Lee
↓ 76'
11
A. Martha
↓ 84' 🟨 78'
M
37
J. Clarke
🎯 73'
24
H. Gray
⚽ 24'
M
10
S. Nombe
⚽ 73'
F
Substitutes
50
B. Childs
G
2
J. Rafferty
↑ 46' 🟨 68'
D
9
J. Hugill
F
16
D. Yearwood
↑ 76'
M
29
G. Biancheri
F
23
J. Holmes
↑ 84'
F
39
H. Duncan
↑ 61'
Last matches: Leyton Orient
02.05.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Burton Albion
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Blackpool
0
1
L
14.04.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Lincoln
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Huddersfield
1
2
L
02.04.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Wigan
0
0
D
28.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Exeter City
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Wycombe
2
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon
4
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Peterborough
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Stevenage
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Bradford
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Barnsley
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Northampton
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Plymouth
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Stockport County
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Port Vale
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Doncaster
0
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Bolton
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Reading
3
1
W
Last matches: Rotherham
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
24.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bradford
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cardiff
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Exeter City
4
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
H2H: Leyton Orient vs Rotherham
18.04.26
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
0
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
L
04.03.25
H2H
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
1
0
L
22.10.24
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
1
0
W
25.05.14
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
4
4
D
01.02.14
H2H
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
1
L
26.10.13
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
1
0
W
Last matches: Leyton Orient
02.05.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Burton Albion
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Huddersfield
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Wycombe
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Peterborough
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Barnsley
1
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Plymouth
1
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Port Vale
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Reading
3
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
Cardiff
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon
1
3
L
20.12.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Bradford
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Luton
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Blackpool
1
1
D
15.11.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Exeter City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Lincoln
1
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Doncaster
4
0
W
27.09.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Stevenage
2
3
L
13.09.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Bolton
1
1
D
30.08.25
Lea
Leyton Orient
Northampton
0
1
L
H2H at home: Leyton Orient
18.04.26
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
0
2
L
22.10.24
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
1
0
W
25.05.14
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
4
4
D
26.10.13
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
1
0
W
Last matches: Rotherham
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bradford
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Exeter City
4
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stockport County
2
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
4
L
26.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
1
2
L
13.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
15.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
0
D
25.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Northampton
2
1
W
27.09.25
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
13.09.25
Lea
Rotherham
AFC Wimbledon
1
2
L
30.08.25
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
0
1
L
H2H away: Rotherham
18.04.26
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
0
2
W
22.10.24
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
1
0
L
25.05.14
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
4
4
D
26.10.13
H2H
Leyton Orient
Rotherham
1
0
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two