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03.10.2026 14:00
Matchroom Stadium
Leyton Orient
Match Timeline
Plymouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Alexander Gilbert
Leyton Orient
🟨
49'
Tony Springett
Leyton Orient
⚽
52'
A. Pepple · Assist: B. Ibrahim
Plymouth
⚽
56'
W. Evans · Assist: R. Curtis
Plymouth
🔄
59'
C. Wellens ↔ I. Hayden
Leyton Orient
🔄
59'
T. Springett ↔ A. Connolly
Leyton Orient
🔄
70'
Y. Akhamrich ↔ D. Scarlett
Leyton Orient
🔄
70'
J. Kabia ↔ A. Dobra
Leyton Orient
🔄
72'
J. Edwards ↔ M. Sorinola
Plymouth
🟨
76'
Mathias Ross
Plymouth
🔄
81'
O. Irow ↔ C. Watts
Plymouth
🟨
84'
Bradley Ibrahim
Plymouth
🔄
84'
P. Chinedu ↔ T. Archibald
Leyton Orient
🔄
88'
A. Pepple ↔ J. MacKenzie
Plymouth
🔄
88'
R. Curtis ↔ X. Amaechi
Plymouth

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leyton Orient Win 30.9%
Draw 4.7%
Plymouth Win 64.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leyton Orient1.65
Plymouth1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
W L D W L
10 GF / 7 GA
Plymouth Plymouth
L W W W L
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
11
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 15 matches
Plymouth Plymouth 14 matches
Leyton Orient Statistic Plymouth
7 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 3
32 Goals For 27
19 Goals Against 13
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
11 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 4.88
10.29 Total Shots 14.38
3.86 Corners 5.63
49.6% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leyton Orient expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Plymouth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plymouth having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Plymouth look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Plymouth.

Leyton Orient Analysis

Leyton Orient are currently 10 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Akhamrich (1 goals), J. Kabia (1 goals), T. Springett (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Akhamrich (1 assists), J. Kabia (1 assists), I. El Mizouni (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Plymouth Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 13 points from 7 games, Plymouth bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 14:10, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Pepple (3 goals), O. Irow (3 goals), H. White (2 goals), with creative support from H. White (1 assists), Julio Pleguezuelo (1 assists), R. Curtis (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Leyton Orient won 3 times, Plymouth won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:27 from Leyton Orient's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1 / Plymouth 4-4-2
H2H summary: Leyton Orient wins 3, draws 2, Plymouth wins 7

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 7 4 1 24:11 13 25
W W W D W
2 13 7 2 4 24:13 11 23
L D W W W
3 11 6 4 1 19:10 9 22
W D W D W
4 12 6 4 2 10:5 5 22
D D W D D
5 13 7 1 5 21:19 2 22
W L L W W
6 12 6 3 3 25:13 12 21
W W L W D
7 13 5 6 2 21:18 3 21
D L D W W
8 12 6 2 4 24:20 4 20
W W W L W
9 12 5 4 3 21:13 8 19
D L L W D
10 11 5 3 3 20:16 4 18
W W D W D
11 12 5 3 4 20:17 3 18
W L W W L
12 13 4 5 4 18:19 -1 17
W D D L L
13 11 4 3 4 15:11 4 15
L W L W L
14 12 3 6 3 16:19 -3 15
W W L W L
15 12 3 6 3 19:23 -4 15
D D W L D
16 12 4 2 6 16:14 2 14
L L W D L
17 12 3 4 5 8:19 -11 13
D L L L D
18 12 3 3 6 13:16 -3 12
L W L L W
19 11 2 5 4 11:14 -3 11
D W L L L
20 11 3 2 6 16:20 -4 11
L W L L L
21 12 2 4 6 11:21 -10 10
D L D W L
22 12 2 3 7 11:30 -19 9
L D L L L
23 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L L D
24 12 2 1 9 8:20 -12 7
L L L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two